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MRMK

Merrimack @ NJIT

NCAAW · · America East-Metro Challenge · Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center

NJIT

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
NJITNJIT Highlanders
73% to win
ModelMRMK 27%NJIT 73%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 73% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetNJIT -6.7
Totaln/a131
Moneylinen/aMRMK +266
NJIT -266 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
NJIT 78, MRMK 71
8 in 10 games
MRMK by 9 to NJIT by 23
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why NJIT can win

  1. Home court: NJIT play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 0.8 points to NJIT in our ratings.
  3. Three-point shooting: NJIT 123rd (31.8%), Merrimack 218th (29.7%) of 363.
  4. Strength of schedule: NJIT 235th (-0.5), Merrimack 315th (-1.3) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors NJIT. The nearest thing to one: their offensive rebounding (173rd of 363) meets the Merrimack defensive rebounding (224th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: Merrimack play fast (111th of 363 in pace), NJIT slow (308th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors NJIT. The closest: best player against best player, Olivia Kulyk (NJIT: 14.6 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 10.0) is about even with Mia Fiore (Merrimack: 13.8 pts, 5.4 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 9.0).
  7. Simulation: NJIT win 3,635 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why NJIT may not

  1. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Merrimack 154th (23.1), NJIT 323rd (18.8) of 363.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations NJIT lose by 9 or more.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Merrimack about 0.7 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Weak spot: NJIT rank 329th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.16).
  5. Team matchup: where Merrimack can push back. Their offensive rebounding (108th of 363) meets the NJIT defensive rebounding (302nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean NJIT on paper, but Mia Fiore (13.8 pts, 5.4 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 9.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Merrimack win 1,365 of 5,000 simulations (27%). A 73% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

MRMK Merrimack

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

NJIT NJIT

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

MRMKNJIT
0-1Record1-0
+1.6 153Net rating+3.8 132
90.8 189Offensive rating95.6 119
89.2 129Defensive rating91.7 192
-1.3 315Strength of schedule-0.5 235
45.4% 169Effective FG%50.1% 51
44.1% 92Opponent eFG%41.7% 22
24.1 238Turnovers per 10023.1 187
33.4% 108Offensive rebound %31.6% 173
29.7% 2183-point %31.8% 123
72.7 111Pace68.0 308

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

  • NJIT 68 @ Merrimack 65Mar 19, 2026 · Postseason
  • NJIT 76 @ Merrimack 87Nov 23, 2024
  • Merrimack 45 @ NJIT 48Nov 10, 2023

What if?

Merrimack27%
73%NJIT

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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