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MAN

Manhattan @ UAlbany

NCAAW · · America East-Metro Challenge · Broadview Center

UALB

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
UALBUAlbany Great Danes
70% to win
ModelMAN 30%UALB 70%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 70% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetUALB -5.8
Totaln/a124.5
Moneylinen/aMAN +237
UALB -237 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
UALB 78, MAN 72
8 in 10 games
MAN by 10 to UALB by 22
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why UAlbany can win

  1. Home court: UAlbany play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Three-point shooting: UAlbany 59th (33.8%), Manhattan 343rd (25.7%) of 363.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): UAlbany 157th (+1.2), Manhattan 260th (-9.0) of 363.
  4. Point differential per game: UAlbany 158th (+0.7), Manhattan 260th (-6.3) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors UAlbany. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (259th of 363) meets the Manhattan ball security (306th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors UAlbany, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Júlia Palomo Vicente (5.9 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 5.6) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: UAlbany win 3,515 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why UAlbany may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations UAlbany lose by 10 or more.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Manhattan about 0.8 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Weak spot: UAlbany rank 320th of 363 in points per game (56.6).
  4. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Manhattan 110th (33.3%), UAlbany 201st (30.6%) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: where Manhattan can push back. Their ball pressure (157th of 363) meets the UAlbany ball security (264th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Colette Mulderig (Manhattan: 10.6 pts, 5.0 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 7.2) has the edge on Bella Stuart (UAlbany: 2.5 pts, 1.9 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 1.9); best player against best player, Brianna Davis (Manhattan: 15.7 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 10.2) has the edge on Júlia Palomo Vicente (UAlbany: 5.9 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 5.6).
  7. Upset odds: Manhattan win 1,485 of 5,000 simulations (30%). A 70% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

MAN Manhattan

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

UALB UAlbany

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

MANUALB
0-0Record1-0
-9.0 260Net rating+1.2 157
82.1 302Offensive rating91.5 175
91.1 177Defensive rating90.3 158
-0.1 184Strength of schedule-0.3 199
40.6% 325Effective FG%48.1% 96
44.7% 128Opponent eFG%44.3% 104
25.9 306Turnovers per 10024.7 264
33.3% 110Offensive rebound %30.6% 201
25.7% 3433-point %33.8% 59
70.4 223Pace61.8 363

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

  • Manhattan 54 @ Albany 60Nov 14, 2018
  • Albany 62 @ Manhattan 56Dec 6, 2017
  • Albany 49 @ Manhattan 48Nov 19, 2010

What if?

Manhattan30%
70%UAlbany

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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