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STBK

Stony Brook @ Iona

NCAAW · · Hynes Athletics Center

IONA

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
IONAIona Gaels
70% to win
ModelSTBK 30%IONA 70%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 70% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetIONA -6.1
Totaln/a123.2
Moneylinen/aSTBK +238
IONA -238 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
IONA 78, STBK 72
8 in 10 games
STBK by 10 to IONA by 23
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Iona can win

  1. Home court: Iona play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Iona 93rd (20.5), Stony Brook 337th (27.4) of 363.
  3. Strength: Iona rank 49th of 363 in points allowed per game (59.9).
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Iona 200th (68.0%), Stony Brook 295th (65.2%) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: where Iona can take advantage. Their ball pressure (135th of 363) meets the Stony Brook ball security (337th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (120th of 363) meets the Stony Brook defensive rebounding (295th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Chloe Vasquez (Iona: 14.0 pts, 4.5 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 13.0) has the edge on Janay Brantley (Stony Brook: 12.4 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 7.8).
  7. Simulation: Iona win 3,520 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Iona may not

  1. Strength of schedule: Stony Brook 203rd (-0.3), Iona 350th (-2.0) of 363.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Iona lose by 10 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Iona rank 350th of 363 in strength of schedule (-2.0).
  4. History: Stony Brook won 5 of the last 5 meetings (college rosters turn over, so this says little).
  5. Team matchup: where Stony Brook can push back. Their offensive rebounding (34th of 363) meets the Iona defensive rebounding (200th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Iona on paper, but Janay Brantley (12.4 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 7.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Stony Brook win 1,480 of 5,000 simulations (30%). A 70% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

STBK Stony Brook

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

IONA Iona

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

STBKIONA
0-0Record0-0
-5.2 228Net rating+0.4 165
84.4 276Offensive rating88.5 225
89.6 143Defensive rating88.1 101
-0.3 203Strength of schedule-2.0 350
42.2% 287Effective FG%41.3% 310
44.3% 107Opponent eFG%43.7% 72
27.4 337Turnovers per 10020.5 93
37.4% 34Offensive rebound %33.1% 120
29.0% 2503-point %27.5% 304
65.0 354Pace68.0 305

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

  • Stony Brook 71 @ Iona 49Dec 21, 2023
  • Iona 71 @ Stony Brook 73Nov 14, 2022
  • Stony Brook 53 @ Iona 46Nov 20, 2021
  • Iona 40 @ Stony Brook 59Nov 21, 2019
  • Stony Brook 53 @ Iona 51Dec 11, 2018

What if?

Stony Brook30%
70%Iona

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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