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ETSU

East Tennessee State @ Clemson

NCAAW · · Littlejohn Coliseum

CLEM

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
CLEMClemson Tigers
77% to win
ModelETSU 23%CLEM 77%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 77% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetCLEM -8.2
Totaln/a121.1
Moneylinen/aETSU +328
CLEM -328 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
CLEM 79, ETSU 71
8 in 10 games
ETSU by 8 to CLEM by 24
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Clemson can win

  1. Home court: Clemson play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Clemson 56th (+13.4), East Tennessee State 182nd (-1.2) of 363.
  3. Strength of schedule: Clemson 64th (+1.7), East Tennessee State 331st (-1.5) of 363.
  4. Three-point shooting: Clemson 47th (34.1%), East Tennessee State 334th (26.1%) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Clemson. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (52nd of 363) meets the East Tennessee State shooting defense (38th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Mia Moore (Clemson: 13.2 pts, 5.3 reb, 4.6 ast, Game Score 10.2) has the edge on Meghan Downing (East Tennessee State: 8.1 pts, 8.3 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 7.6).
  7. Simulation: Clemson win 3,835 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Clemson may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Clemson lose by 8 or more.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): East Tennessee State 126th (0.21), Clemson 278th (0.18) of 363.
  3. Weak spot: Clemson rank 278th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
  4. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: East Tennessee State 162nd (22.9), Clemson 237th (21.3) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: a strength Clemson may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (52nd of 363) meets the East Tennessee State shooting defense (38th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Clemson on paper, but Meghan Downing (8.1 pts, 8.3 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 7.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: East Tennessee State win 1,165 of 5,000 simulations (23%). A 77% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

ETSU East Tennessee State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

CLEM Clemson

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

ETSUCLEM
1-0Record1-0
-1.2 182Net rating+13.4 56
85.7 257Offensive rating101.3 48
86.9 74Defensive rating87.9 93
-1.5 331Strength of schedule+1.7 64
39.5% 340Effective FG%50.0% 52
42.4% 38Opponent eFG%44.9% 146
20.1 75Turnovers per 10019.3 53
31.2% 183Offensive rebound %31.9% 164
26.1% 3343-point %34.1% 47
66.2 340Pace66.8 335

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • East Tennessee State 50 @ Clemson 73Dec 22, 2023

What if?

East Tennessee State23%
77%Clemson

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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