Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | BTLR -11.6 |
| Total | n/a | 133.4 |
| Moneyline | n/a | LIP +572 BTLR -572 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- BTLR 81, LIP 69
- 8 in 10 games
- LIP by 4 to BTLR by 28
Advantages Why Butler can win
- Home court: Butler play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.5 points to Butler in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Butler about 1.7 points stronger over recent games.
- Strength of schedule: Butler 70th (+1.5), Lipscomb 292nd (-1.0) of 363.
- Team matchup: where Butler can take advantage. Their ball pressure (251st of 363) meets the Lipscomb ball security (334th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: no key position favors Butler, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Saniya Jackson (9.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.4) leading the way.
- Simulation: Butler win 4,255 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Butler may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Butler lose by 4 or more.
- Weak spot: Butler rank 298th of 363 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (25.6).
- Weak spot: Butler rank 295th of 363 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (27.1%).
- Weak spot: Butler rank 251st of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (21.0).
- Team matchup: a strength Butler may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (76th of 363) meets the Lipscomb shooting defense (103rd), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Molly Heard (Lipscomb: 14.7 pts, 5.7 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.4) has the edge on Saniya Jackson (Butler: 9.4 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.4).
- Upset odds: Lipscomb win 745 of 5,000 simulations (15%). A 85% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
LIP Lipscomb
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
BTLR Butler
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| LIP | BTLR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -8.3 252 | Net rating | -2.2 197 |
| 82.6 298 | Offensive rating | 90.8 190 |
| 90.9 173 | Defensive rating | 93.0 220 |
| -1.0 292 | Strength of schedule | +1.5 70 |
| 45.2% 175 | Effective FG% | 49.0% 76 |
| 44.3% 103 | Opponent eFG% | 46.3% 223 |
| 27.3 334 | Turnovers per 100 | 25.6 298 |
| 24.6% 333 | Offensive rebound % | 27.1% 295 |
| 30.1% 201 | 3-point % | 31.5% 133 |
| 71.2 176 | Pace | 70.1 236 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Lipscomb 58 @ Butler 70Nov 17, 2017
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