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Portland @ BYU

NCAAW · · Marriott Center

BYU

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
BYUBYU Cougars
77% to win
ModelPORT 23%BYU 77%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 77% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetBYU -8.5
Totaln/a137.1
Moneylinen/aPORT +339
BYU -339 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
BYU 79, PORT 71
8 in 10 games
PORT by 8 to BYU by 25
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why BYU can win

  1. Home court: BYU play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.5 points to BYU in our ratings.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): BYU 129th (70.1%), Portland 326th (63.5%) of 363.
  4. Strength: BYU rank 25th of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (41.9%).
  5. Team matchup: where BYU can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (80th of 363) meets the Portland defensive rebounding (326th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (158th of 363) meets the Portland ball security (214th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Delaney Gibb (BYU: 18.2 pts, 5.1 reb, 4.6 ast, Game Score 11.7) has the edge on Dyani Ananiev (Portland: 11.3 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 9.2); at forward, Lara Rohkohl (BYU: 8.2 pts, 6.9 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 8.5) has the edge on Lainey Spear (Portland: 9.6 pts, 4.4 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 7.0).
  7. Simulation: BYU win 3,860 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why BYU may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations BYU lose by 8 or more.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Portland about 0.6 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  4. Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  5. Team matchup: where Portland can push back. Their ball pressure (47th of 363) meets the BYU ball security (176th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean BYU on paper, but Dyani Ananiev (11.3 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 9.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Portland win 1,140 of 5,000 simulations (23%). A 77% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

PORT Portland

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

BYU BYU

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

PORTBYU
0-0Record1-0
+1.7 152Net rating+8.8 91
89.8 200Offensive rating96.1 110
88.1 103Defensive rating87.4 81
+0.6 113Strength of schedule+1.3 82
46.5% 137Effective FG%47.2% 118
44.8% 130Opponent eFG%41.9% 25
23.5 214Turnovers per 10022.9 176
27.2% 290Offensive rebound %34.7% 80
32.7% 863-point %31.0% 152
74.3 57Pace73.3 92

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

  • BYU 87 @ Portland 53Dec 6, 2025
  • Portland 61 @ BYU 49Feb 27, 2023
  • BYU 45 @ Portland 67Dec 19, 2022
  • Portland 52 vs BYU 59Mar 7, 2022
  • BYU 64 @ Portland 75Feb 3, 2022

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Portland23%
77%BYU

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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