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PAC

Pacific @ #16 Washington

NCAAW · · Alaska Airlines Arena

WASH

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
WASHWashington Huskies
92% to win
ModelPAC 8%WASH 92%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetWASH -16.6
Totaln/a134.2
Moneylinen/aPAC +1222
WASH -1222 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
WASH 83, PAC 66
8 in 10 games
WASH by 1 to WASH by 32
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Washington can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.3 points to Washington in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Washington 52nd (+13.7), Pacific 249th (-7.9) of 363.
  3. Washington's offense (102.5 points per 100 possessions, 41st in Division I) meets a Pacific defense that ranks 305th.
  4. Home court: Washington play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  5. Team matchup: where Washington can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (53rd of 363) meets the Pacific defensive rebounding (301st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (37th of 363) meets the Pacific shooting defense (241st): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Brynn McGaughy (Washington: 9.4 pts, 4.6 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 6.5) has the edge on Marina Radocaj (Pacific: 4.0 pts, 4.4 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 3.3); best player against best player, Avery Howell (Washington: 14.4 pts, 8.2 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 12.6) has the edge on Sydney Ward (Pacific: 11.3 pts, 6.8 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 10.3).
  7. Simulation: Washington win 4,620 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Washington may not

  1. Weak spot: Washington rank 340th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.16).
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Pacific 183rd (0.20), Washington 340th (0.16) of 363.
  3. Weak spot: Washington rank 298th of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.7).
  4. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  5. Team matchup: Pacific have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Washington on paper, but Sydney Ward (11.3 pts, 6.8 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 10.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Pacific win 380 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

PAC Pacific

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

WASH Washington

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

PACWASH
0-0Record1-0
-7.9 249Net rating+13.7 52
91.2 179Offensive rating102.5 41
99.1 305Defensive rating88.8 118
+1.1 87Strength of schedule+2.7 27
45.8% 156Effective FG%50.6% 37
46.6% 241Opponent eFG%44.9% 141
24.4 255Turnovers per 10021.4 120
32.3% 149Offensive rebound %36.1% 53
31.5% 1343-point %34.0% 55
70.0 239Pace69.8 246

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

  • Washington 90 @ Pacific 50Dec 21, 2025
  • Pacific 50 @ Washington 81Nov 7, 2024
  • Pacific 64 @ Washington 81Nov 15, 2023
  • Pacific 85 @ Washington 78Mar 24, 2013 · Postseason

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Pacific8%
92%Washington

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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