21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
HAW

Hawai'i @ San Francisco

NCAAW · · The Sobrato Center

SF

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SFSan Francisco Dons
54% to win
ModelHAW 46%SF 54%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSF -0.7
Totaln/a133.2
Moneylinen/aHAW +117
SF -117 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
SF 76, HAW 75
8 in 10 games
HAW by 16 to SF by 17
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why San Francisco can win

  1. Home court: San Francisco play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): San Francisco 124th (32.9%), Hawai'i 253rd (29.1%) of 363.
  3. Relative strength: San Francisco rank 94th of 363 in strength of schedule (+0.9).
  4. Relative strength: San Francisco rank 124th of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (44.7%).
  5. Team matchup: where San Francisco can take advantage. Their ball pressure (138th of 363) meets the Hawai'i ball security (244th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. Pace clash: San Francisco play fast (31st of 363 in pace), Hawai'i slow (288th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Candy Edokpaigbe (San Francisco: 17.9 pts, 4.6 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 12.5) has the edge on Saniyah Neverson (Hawai'i: 9.8 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.7).
  7. Simulation: San Francisco win 2,700 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why San Francisco may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.6 points to Hawai'i in our ratings.
  2. Three-point shooting: Hawai'i 42nd (34.3%), San Francisco 270th (28.5%) of 363.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Hawai'i 105th (+7.3), San Francisco 181st (-1.1) of 363.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.2 points to Hawai'i in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: a strength San Francisco may not get to use. Their offensive rebounding (124th of 363) meets the Hawai'i defensive rebounding (94th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean San Francisco on paper, but Saniyah Neverson (9.8 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Hawai'i win 2,300 of 5,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

HAW Hawai'i

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

SF San Francisco

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

HAWSF
0-1Record0-0
+7.3 105Net rating-1.1 181
92.9 149Offensive rating88.7 222
85.6 47Defensive rating89.8 148
+0.0 163Strength of schedule+0.9 94
48.2% 93Effective FG%45.2% 176
40.5% 8Opponent eFG%44.7% 124
24.2 244Turnovers per 10024.5 258
29.1% 253Offensive rebound %32.9% 124
34.3% 423-point %28.5% 270
68.7 288Pace76.0 31

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

  • San Francisco 51 @ Hawai'i 65Nov 17, 2023
  • Hawai'i 52 @ San Francisco 65Nov 9, 2012
  • San Francisco 48 @ Hawai'i 58Dec 4, 2009

What if?

Hawai'i46%
54%San Francisco

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat