- Nicholls 1-0 · Southland 0-0, 5th · W1
- Iowa State 1-0 · Big 12 0-0, 6th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ISU -13 |
| Total | n/a | 141 |
| Moneyline | n/a | NICH +647 ISU -647 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- ISU 81, NICH 68
- 8 in 10 games
- NICH by 4 to ISU by 29
Advantages Why Iowa State can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.2 points to Iowa State in our ratings.
- Home court: Iowa State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Iowa State 23rd (+20.1), Nicholls 164th (+0.4) of 363.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Iowa State about 2.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Team matchup: where Iowa State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (9th of 363) meets the Nicholls shooting defense (177th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: no key position favors Iowa State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Arianna Jackson (6.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 4.8) leading the way.
- Simulation: Iowa State win 4,330 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Iowa State may not
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Nicholls 39th (26.7), Iowa State 295th (19.8) of 363.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Iowa State lose by 4 or more.
- Weak spot: Iowa State rank 295th of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.8).
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Nicholls 152nd (32.2%), Iowa State 238th (29.8%) of 363.
- Team matchup: Nicholls have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Marie Kenembeni (Nicholls: 9.9 pts, 4.4 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 7.0) has the edge on Arianna Jackson (Iowa State: 6.6 pts, 3.1 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 4.8).
- Upset odds: Nicholls win 670 of 5,000 simulations (13%). A 87% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
NICH Nicholls
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
ISU Iowa State
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| NICH | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| +0.4 164 | Net rating | +20.1 23 |
| 89.2 210 | Offensive rating | 110.9 10 |
| 88.8 119 | Defensive rating | 90.8 170 |
| -1.5 332 | Strength of schedule | +1.4 78 |
| 41.6% 304 | Effective FG% | 54.2% 9 |
| 45.5% 177 | Opponent eFG% | 45.0% 154 |
| 21.5 123 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.4 12 |
| 32.2% 152 | Offensive rebound % | 29.8% 238 |
| 24.8% 349 | 3-point % | 35.6% 18 |
| 71.0 190 | Pace | 73.9 70 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Nicholls 47 @ Iowa State 75Dec 21, 2017
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