Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TCU -30.3 |
| Total | n/a | 127.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | LEM +13765 TCU -13765 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- TCU 90, LEM 62
- 8 in 10 games
- TCU by 12 to TCU by 43
Advantages Why TCU can win
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): TCU 6th (+29.5), Le Moyne 339th (-21.3) of 363.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 13.5 points to TCU in our ratings.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 5.4 points to TCU in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated TCU about 5.0 points stronger over recent games.
- Team matchup: where TCU can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (10th of 363) meets the Le Moyne shooting defense (285th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (118th of 363) meets the Le Moyne defensive rebounding (274th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Olivia Miles (TCU: 19.6 pts, 7.2 reb, 6.6 ast, Game Score 16.3) has the edge on Ashley Buragas (Le Moyne: 12.4 pts, 7.2 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 9.1).
- Simulation: TCU win 4,965 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why TCU may not
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Le Moyne 162nd (0.21), TCU 305th (0.17) of 363.
- Weak spot: TCU rank 305th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.17).
- Weak spot: TCU rank 291st of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.8).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: Le Moyne have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean TCU on paper, but Ashley Buragas (12.4 pts, 7.2 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 9.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Le Moyne win 35 of 5,000 simulations (1%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.
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Who's out
LEM Le Moyne
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
TCU TCU
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| LEM | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -21.3 339 | Net rating | +29.5 6 |
| 81.9 309 | Offensive rating | 109.5 14 |
| 103.2 343 | Defensive rating | 80.0 7 |
| -2.0 351 | Strength of schedule | +2.2 49 |
| 43.1% 261 | Effective FG% | 54.2% 10 |
| 47.8% 285 | Opponent eFG% | 38.2% 1 |
| 27.4 335 | Turnovers per 100 | 19.3 52 |
| 28.8% 264 | Offensive rebound % | 33.1% 118 |
| 31.7% 128 | 3-point % | 35.6% 17 |
| 67.4 322 | Pace | 70.7 211 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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