Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TA&M -11.6 |
| Total | n/a | 133.5 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UL +507 TA&M -507 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- TA&M 81, UL 69
- 8 in 10 games
- UL by 5 to TA&M by 28
Advantages Why Texas A&M can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.7 points to Texas A&M in our ratings.
- Home court: Texas A&M play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas A&M 202nd (-2.6), Louisiana 343rd (-24.0) of 363.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.6 points to Texas A&M in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Texas A&M can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (136th of 363) meets the Louisiana defensive rebounding (348th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (189th of 363) meets the Louisiana ball security (297th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Texas A&M. The closest: best player against best player, Imani Daniel (Louisiana: 12.2 pts, 6.1 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 7.1) is about even with Lauren Ware (Texas A&M: 6.6 pts, 5.2 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 5.9).
- Simulation: Texas A&M win 4,175 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Texas A&M may not
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Louisiana about 2.5 points stronger over recent games.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Texas A&M lose by 5 or more.
- Weak spot: Texas A&M rank 245th of 363 in effective shooting (eFG%) (43.5%).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: where Louisiana can push back. Their ball pressure (131st of 363) meets the Texas A&M ball security (210th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: At guard, Mikaylah Manley (Louisiana: 13.2 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 6.2) has the edge on Janae Kent (Texas A&M: 8.9 pts, 3.0 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 4.3).
- Upset odds: Louisiana win 825 of 5,000 simulations (17%). A 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
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Who's out
UL Louisiana
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
TA&M Texas A&M
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| UL | TA&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| -24.0 343 | Net rating | -2.6 202 |
| 77.0 345 | Offensive rating | 89.2 211 |
| 101.0 327 | Defensive rating | 91.8 195 |
| +0.8 100 | Strength of schedule | +2.8 21 |
| 37.8% 353 | Effective FG% | 43.5% 245 |
| 48.9% 312 | Opponent eFG% | 44.8% 131 |
| 25.6 297 | Turnovers per 100 | 23.4 210 |
| 31.6% 174 | Offensive rebound % | 32.6% 136 |
| 23.7% 357 | 3-point % | 29.5% 224 |
| 74.0 67 | Pace | 73.0 101 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Louisiana 62 @ Texas A&M 83Nov 12, 2017
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