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Louisiana @ Texas A&M

NCAAW Β· Β· Reed Arena

TA&M

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
TA&MTexas A&M Aggies
84% to win
ModelUL 16%TA&M 84%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetTA&M -11.6
Totaln/a133.5
Moneylinen/aUL +507
TA&M -507 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
TA&M 81, UL 69
8 in 10 games
UL by 5 to TA&M by 28
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Texas A&M can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.7 points to Texas A&M in our ratings.
  2. Home court: Texas A&M play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas A&M 202nd (-2.6), Louisiana 343rd (-24.0) of 363.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.6 points to Texas A&M in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Texas A&M can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (136th of 363) meets the Louisiana defensive rebounding (348th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (189th of 363) meets the Louisiana ball security (297th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Texas A&M. The closest: best player against best player, Imani Daniel (Louisiana: 12.2 pts, 6.1 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 7.1) is about even with Lauren Ware (Texas A&M: 6.6 pts, 5.2 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 5.9).
  7. Simulation: Texas A&M win 4,175 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Texas A&M may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Louisiana about 2.5 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Texas A&M lose by 5 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Texas A&M rank 245th of 363 in effective shooting (eFG%) (43.5%).
  4. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  5. Team matchup: where Louisiana can push back. Their ball pressure (131st of 363) meets the Texas A&M ball security (210th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Mikaylah Manley (Louisiana: 13.2 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 6.2) has the edge on Janae Kent (Texas A&M: 8.9 pts, 3.0 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 4.3).
  7. Upset odds: Louisiana win 825 of 5,000 simulations (17%). A 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

UL Louisiana

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

TA&M Texas A&M

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

ULTA&M
0-0Record1-0
-24.0 343Net rating-2.6 202
77.0 345Offensive rating89.2 211
101.0 327Defensive rating91.8 195
+0.8 100Strength of schedule+2.8 21
37.8% 353Effective FG%43.5% 245
48.9% 312Opponent eFG%44.8% 131
25.6 297Turnovers per 10023.4 210
31.6% 174Offensive rebound %32.6% 136
23.7% 3573-point %29.5% 224
74.0 67Pace73.0 101

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Louisiana 62 @ Texas A&M 83Nov 12, 2017

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Louisiana17%
84%Texas A&M

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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