- Central Connecticut 0-1 · NEC 0-0, 3rd · L1
- James Madison 0-1 · Sun Belt 0-0, 13th · L1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | JMU -25.4 |
| Total | n/a | 132.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | CCSU +5667 JMU -5667 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- JMU 88, CCSU 63
- 8 in 10 games
- JMU by 9 to JMU by 40
Advantages Why James Madison can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 14.5 points to James Madison in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): James Madison 34th (+17.0), Central Connecticut 351st (-26.1) of 363.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 4.7 points to James Madison in our ratings.
- James Madison's offense (101.4 points per 100 possessions, 45th in Division I) meets a Central Connecticut defense that ranks 330th.
- Team matchup: where James Madison can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (65th of 363) meets the Central Connecticut shooting defense (336th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (51st of 363) meets the Central Connecticut defensive rebounding (294th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Peyton McDaniel (James Madison: 18.8 pts, 7.5 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 14.9) has the edge on Lucia Noin (Central Connecticut: 13.5 pts, 5.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.0).
- Simulation: James Madison win 4,915 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why James Madison may not
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
- Team matchup: Central Connecticut have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean James Madison on paper, but Lucia Noin (13.5 pts, 5.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Central Connecticut win 85 of 5,000 simulations (2%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 2 times in 100.
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Who's out
CCSU Central Connecticut
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
JMU James Madison
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| CCSU | JMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| -26.1 351 | Net rating | +17.0 34 |
| 75.4 350 | Offensive rating | 101.4 45 |
| 101.5 330 | Defensive rating | 84.4 35 |
| -2.1 354 | Strength of schedule | +1.3 84 |
| 37.6% 355 | Effective FG% | 49.5% 65 |
| 49.9% 336 | Opponent eFG% | 42.4% 36 |
| 24.1 243 | Turnovers per 100 | 21.2 112 |
| 24.5% 335 | Offensive rebound % | 36.3% 51 |
| 23.2% 358 | 3-point % | 30.9% 159 |
| 70.8 202 | Pace | 72.6 113 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Central Connecticut 64 @ James Madison 71Dec 18, 2011
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