- Fairleigh Dickinson 0-1 · NEC 0-0, 5th · L1
- Texas AP #6 · 0-0 · SEC 0-0, 16th
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TEX -23.8 |
| Total | n/a | 129.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | FDU +4403 TEX -4403 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- TEX 86, FDU 63
- 8 in 10 games
- TEX by 7 to TEX by 39
Advantages Why Texas can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Texas about 9.0 points stronger over recent games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.7 points to Texas in our ratings.
- Home court: Texas play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: Texas 3rd (+4.5), Fairleigh Dickinson 362nd (-2.7) of 363.
- Team matchup: where Texas can take advantage. Their ball pressure (8th of 363) meets the Fairleigh Dickinson ball security (88th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (8th of 363) meets the Fairleigh Dickinson defensive rebounding (84th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: Texas play fast (106th of 363 in pace), Fairleigh Dickinson slow (356th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Madison Booker (Texas: 18.9 pts, 6.7 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 16.4) has the edge on Kailee McDonald (Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.0 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 9.2).
- Simulation: Texas win 4,890 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Texas may not
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
- Team matchup: a strength Texas may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (17th of 363) meets the Fairleigh Dickinson shooting defense (7th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas on paper, but Kailee McDonald (12.0 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 9.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Fairleigh Dickinson win 110 of 5,000 simulations (2%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 2 times in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
FDU Fairleigh Dickinson
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
TEX Texas
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| FDU | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| +21.6 18 | Net rating | +38.6 4 |
| 103.7 33 | Offensive rating | 115.2 5 |
| 82.1 13 | Defensive rating | 76.5 2 |
| -2.7 362 | Strength of schedule | +4.5 3 |
| 49.2% 72 | Effective FG% | 52.8% 17 |
| 40.3% 7 | Opponent eFG% | 42.3% 35 |
| 20.3 88 | Turnovers per 100 | 16.6 5 |
| 37.8% 25 | Offensive rebound % | 40.8% 8 |
| 34.4% 37 | 3-point % | 33.5% 61 |
| 64.8 356 | Pace | 72.9 106 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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