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OAK

Oakland @ Wisconsin

NCAAW · · Kohl Center

WIS

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
WISWisconsin Badgers
64% to win
ModelOAK 36%WIS 64%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetWIS -3.9
Totaln/a136.9
Moneylinen/aOAK +182
WIS -182 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
WIS 77, OAK 73
8 in 10 games
OAK by 12 to WIS by 20
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Wisconsin can win

  1. Wisconsin's offense (95.6 points per 100 possessions, 120th in Division I) meets a Oakland defense that ranks 346th.
  2. Home court: Wisconsin play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  3. Strength of schedule: Wisconsin 22nd (+2.8), Oakland 133rd (+0.3) of 363.
  4. Three-point shooting: Wisconsin 52nd (34.0%), Oakland 170th (30.6%) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: where Wisconsin can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (84th of 363) meets the Oakland shooting defense (354th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Wisconsin, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Kyrah Daniels (12.4 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.0) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Wisconsin win 3,225 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Wisconsin may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Oakland about 2.5 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Oakland's offense (89.9 points per 100 possessions, 198th in Division I) meets a Wisconsin defense that ranks 326th.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Wisconsin lose by 12 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Wisconsin rank 354th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.15).
  5. Team matchup: where Oakland can push back. Their shooting efficiency (190th of 363) meets the Wisconsin shooting defense (313th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (185th of 363) meets the Wisconsin defensive rebounding (246th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Makenzie Luehring (Oakland: 15.5 pts, 4.3 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 9.9) has the edge on Kyrah Daniels (Wisconsin: 12.4 pts, 5.1 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.0).
  7. Upset odds: Oakland win 1,775 of 5,000 simulations (36%). A 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

OAK Oakland

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

WIS Wisconsin

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

OAKWIS
0-0Record1-0
-13.9 300Net rating-5.4 231
89.9 198Offensive rating95.6 120
103.8 346Defensive rating101.0 326
+0.3 133Strength of schedule+2.8 22
44.8% 190Effective FG%48.6% 84
51.3% 354Opponent eFG%48.9% 313
23.6 215Turnovers per 10023.0 181
31.2% 185Offensive rebound %32.5% 139
30.6% 1703-point %34.0% 52
69.9 245Pace71.0 188

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Oakland 68 @ Wisconsin 79Nov 5, 2025

What if?

Oakland36%
64%Wisconsin

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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