Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | UCLA -28.5 |
| Total | n/a | 132.8 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UCI +9803 UCLA -9803 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- UCLA 88, UCI 62
- 8 in 10 games
- UCLA by 11 to UCLA by 41
Advantages Why UCLA can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 9.6 points to UCLA in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated UCLA about 8.7 points stronger over recent games.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.5 points to UCLA in our ratings.
- Home court: UCLA play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where UCLA can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (2nd of 363) meets the UC Irvine defensive rebounding (60th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Lauren Betts (UCLA: 17.1 pts, 8.8 reb, 3.2 ast, Game Score 16.5) has the edge on Hunter Hernandez (UC Irvine: 19.8 pts, 5.9 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 13.2).
- Simulation: UCLA win 4,950 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why UCLA may not
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): UC Irvine 2nd (0.30), UCLA 237th (0.19) of 363.
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: UC Irvine 148th (23.2), UCLA 261st (20.7) of 363.
- Weak spot: UCLA rank 261st of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (20.7).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: a strength UCLA may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (2nd of 363) meets the UC Irvine shooting defense (18th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean UCLA on paper, but Hunter Hernandez (19.8 pts, 5.9 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 13.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: UC Irvine win 50 of 5,000 simulations (1%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
UCI UC Irvine
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
UCLA UCLA
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| UCI | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| +18.7 27 | Net rating | +39.3 3 |
| 103.1 37 | Offensive rating | 120.4 2 |
| 84.4 36 | Defensive rating | 81.1 11 |
| -1.3 323 | Strength of schedule | +4.2 5 |
| 47.4% 107 | Effective FG% | 56.4% 2 |
| 41.5% 18 | Opponent eFG% | 40.6% 9 |
| 18.2 25 | Turnovers per 100 | 18.6 34 |
| 31.0% 190 | Offensive rebound % | 43.9% 2 |
| 35.5% 20 | 3-point % | 36.6% 11 |
| 68.8 286 | Pace | 69.4 263 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
- UC Irvine 48 @ UCLA 61Mar 18, 2022 · Postseason
- UC Irvine 48 @ UCLA 83Dec 16, 2015
Your pick
Locks at kickoff · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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