- Charlotte 0-1 · American 0-0, 7th · L1
- Texas Tech 0-0 · Big 12 0-0, 16th
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | TTU -13 |
| Total | n/a | 132 |
| Moneyline | n/a | CLT +699 TTU -699 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- TTU 81, CLT 69
- 8 in 10 games
- CLT by 3 to TTU by 29
Advantages Why Texas Tech can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.3 points to Texas Tech in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas Tech 36th (+16.4), Charlotte 221st (-4.2) of 363.
- Home court: Texas Tech play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Texas Tech's offense (99.6 points per 100 possessions, 65th in Division I) meets a Charlotte defense that ranks 245th.
- Team matchup: where Texas Tech can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (43rd of 363) meets the Charlotte shooting defense (252nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (34th of 363) meets the Charlotte ball security (231st): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Bailey Maupin (Texas Tech: 15.2 pts, 3.6 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 9.5) has the edge on Tanajah Hayes (Charlotte: 11.0 pts, 2.9 reb, 5.3 ast, Game Score 7.9).
- Simulation: Texas Tech win 4,375 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Texas Tech may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Texas Tech lose by 3 or more.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Team matchup: where Charlotte can push back. Their offensive rebounding (6th of 363) meets the Texas Tech defensive rebounding (205th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas Tech on paper, but Tanajah Hayes (11.0 pts, 2.9 reb, 5.3 ast, Game Score 7.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Charlotte win 625 of 5,000 simulations (12%). A 88% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
CLT Charlotte
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
TTU Texas Tech
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| CLT | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-0 |
| -4.2 221 | Net rating | +16.4 36 |
| 90.2 194 | Offensive rating | 99.6 65 |
| 94.4 245 | Defensive rating | 83.2 20 |
| +0.6 110 | Strength of schedule | +1.7 63 |
| 42.3% 284 | Effective FG% | 50.5% 43 |
| 46.9% 252 | Opponent eFG% | 41.9% 27 |
| 23.9 231 | Turnovers per 100 | 22.6 167 |
| 41.1% 6 | Offensive rebound % | 30.2% 215 |
| 30.5% 178 | 3-point % | 33.9% 56 |
| 70.7 208 | Pace | 71.1 183 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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