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AMER

American University @ Georgetown

NCAAW · · McDonough Arena

GTWN

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
GTWNGeorgetown Hoyas
85% to win
ModelAMER 15%GTWN 85%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 85% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetGTWN -11.8
Totaln/a127.5
Moneylinen/aAMER +552
GTWN -552 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
GTWN 81, AMER 69
8 in 10 games
AMER by 5 to GTWN by 28
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Georgetown can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.0 points to Georgetown in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Georgetown 148th (+1.9), American University 319th (-15.8) of 363.
  3. Home court: Georgetown play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  4. Georgetown's offense (91.8 points per 100 possessions, 170th in Division I) meets a American University defense that ranks 301st.
  5. Team matchup: where Georgetown can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (29th of 363) meets the American University defensive rebounding (141st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (50th of 363) meets the American University ball security (157th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Georgetown. The closest: best player against best player, Molly Driscoll (American University: 11.6 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 6.7) is about even with Brianna Scott (Georgetown: 8.3 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 6.2).
  7. Simulation: Georgetown win 4,235 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Georgetown may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated American University about 1.3 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Georgetown lose by 5 or more.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): American University 157th (22.4), Georgetown 270th (24.8) of 363.
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): American University 141st (69.8%), Georgetown 250th (66.6%) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: American University have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Georgetown on paper, but Molly Driscoll (11.6 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 6.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: American University win 765 of 5,000 simulations (15%). A 85% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

AMER American University

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

GTWN Georgetown

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

AMERGTWN
0-0Record1-0
-15.8 319Net rating+1.9 148
82.8 295Offensive rating91.8 170
98.6 301Defensive rating89.9 149
-0.6 249Strength of schedule+1.9 55
42.0% 298Effective FG%44.5% 203
48.2% 294Opponent eFG%46.5% 238
22.4 157Turnovers per 10024.8 270
26.3% 310Offensive rebound %37.7% 29
27.6% 3033-point %30.3% 188
67.2 326Pace69.0 282

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

American University15%
85%Georgetown

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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