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LIU

Long Island University @ Texas State

NCAAW · · Strahan Arena at the University Events Center

TXST

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
LIULong Island University Sharks
52% to win
ModelLIU 52%TXST 48%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetLIU -0.2
Totaln/a137.1
Moneylinen/aLIU -106
TXST +106 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
TXST 75, LIU 75
8 in 10 games
LIU by 17 to TXST by 16
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Long Island University can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.9 points to Long Island University in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Long Island University 120th (+5.3), Texas State 261st (-9.1) of 363.
  3. Three-point shooting: Long Island University 28th (35.1%), Texas State 298th (27.7%) of 363.
  4. Long Island University's offense (96.3 points per 100 possessions, 107th in Division I) meets a Texas State defense that ranks 224th.
  5. Team matchup: where Long Island University can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (89th of 363) meets the Texas State shooting defense (216th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (186th of 363) meets the Texas State defensive rebounding (307th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kadidia Toure (Long Island University: 19.2 pts, 10.4 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 15.1) has the edge on Kyra Anderson (Texas State: 12.8 pts, 8.3 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 9.7); at guard, Janessa Williams (Long Island University: 13.5 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 10.6) has the edge on Saniya Burks (Texas State: 14.4 pts, 2.3 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 7.4).
  7. Simulation: Long Island University win 2,575 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Long Island University may not

  1. Home court: Texas State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Texas State 161st (+0.1), Long Island University 363rd (-3.1) of 363.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Long Island University lose by 16 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Long Island University rank 363rd of 363 in strength of schedule (-3.1).
  5. Team matchup: where Texas State can push back. Their ball pressure (92nd of 363) meets the Long Island University ball security (191st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Long Island University on paper, but Kyra Anderson (12.8 pts, 8.3 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 9.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Texas State win 2,425 of 5,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

LIU Long Island University

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

TXST Texas State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

LIUTXST
0-1Record0-0
+5.3 120Net rating-9.1 261
96.3 107Offensive rating84.2 278
91.0 175Defensive rating93.3 224
-3.1 363Strength of schedule+0.1 161
48.5% 89Effective FG%43.1% 265
43.9% 84Opponent eFG%46.1% 216
23.1 191Turnovers per 10027.4 339
31.2% 186Offensive rebound %32.6% 134
35.1% 283-point %27.7% 298
71.8 154Pace73.3 94

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Long Island University52%
48%Texas State

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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