- Dartmouth 1-0 Β· Ivy 0-0, 2nd Β· W1
- Holy Cross 1-0 Β· Patriot 0-0, 3rd Β· W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | HC -16.6 |
| Total | n/a | 123.4 |
| Moneyline | n/a | DART +1191 HC -1191 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- HC 83, DART 67
- 8 in 10 games
- HC by 1 to HC by 33
Advantages Why Holy Cross can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.7 points to Holy Cross in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Holy Cross 123rd (+5.1), Dartmouth 341st (-21.9) of 363.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.0 points to Holy Cross in our ratings.
- Home court: Holy Cross play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where Holy Cross can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (155th of 363) meets the Dartmouth shooting defense (303rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Meg Cahalan (Holy Cross: 15.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 10.0) has the edge on Catherine MacDonald (Dartmouth: 9.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 6.7); at guard, Kaitlyn Flanagan (Holy Cross: 9.2 pts, 2.8 reb, 4.1 ast, Game Score 7.1) has the edge on Nina Minicozzi (Dartmouth: 6.8 pts, 2.8 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 5.1).
- Simulation: Holy Cross win 4,615 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Holy Cross may not
- Strength of schedule: Dartmouth 127th (+0.4), Holy Cross 216th (-0.4) of 363.
- Weak spot: Holy Cross rank 320th of 363 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (25.6%).
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Dartmouth about 0.6 points stronger over recent games.
- Weak spot: Holy Cross rank 301st of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.17).
- Team matchup: Dartmouth have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Holy Cross on paper, but Catherine MacDonald (9.0 pts, 6.7 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 6.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Dartmouth win 385 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Who's out
DART Dartmouth
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
HC Holy Cross
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| DART | HC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| -21.9 341 | Net rating | +5.1 123 |
| 80.4 320 | Offensive rating | 89.3 209 |
| 102.3 336 | Defensive rating | 84.2 32 |
| +0.4 127 | Strength of schedule | -0.4 216 |
| 40.9% 319 | Effective FG% | 45.8% 155 |
| 48.5% 303 | Opponent eFG% | 42.4% 37 |
| 24.9 273 | Turnovers per 100 | 21.5 122 |
| 28.6% 265 | Offensive rebound % | 25.6% 320 |
| 27.8% 295 | 3-point % | 28.1% 283 |
| 64.5 357 | Pace | 68.3 301 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
- Holy Cross 68 @ Dartmouth 55Nov 27, 2022
- Dartmouth 49 @ Holy Cross 77Nov 16, 2021
- Dartmouth 76 @ Holy Cross 74Dec 20, 2017
- Holy Cross 49 @ Dartmouth 53Nov 23, 2016
- Dartmouth 60 @ Holy Cross 54Dec 21, 2015
Your pick
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