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GRAM

Grambling @ McNeese

NCAAW · · Townsley Law Arena

MCN

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
MCNMcNeese Cowgirls
90% to win
ModelGRAM 10%MCN 90%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 90% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetMCN -15
Totaln/a130.6
Moneylinen/aGRAM +954
MCN -954 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
MCN 83, GRAM 67
8 in 10 games
GRAM by 1 to MCN by 31
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why McNeese can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.2 points to McNeese in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): McNeese 30th (+17.8), Grambling 248th (-7.9) of 363.
  3. Home court: McNeese play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.1 points to McNeese in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where McNeese can take advantage. Their ball pressure (1st of 363) meets the Grambling ball security (262nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (226th of 363) meets the Grambling defensive rebounding (337th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: Grambling play fast (40th of 363 in pace), McNeese slow (294th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors McNeese. The closest: best player against best player, Shaniah Nunn (Grambling: 12.3 pts, 7.9 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 9.2) is about even with Jalencia Pierre (McNeese: 9.6 pts, 2.3 reb, 3.8 ast, Game Score 8.2).
  7. Simulation: McNeese win 4,525 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why McNeese may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations McNeese lose by 1 or more.
  2. Weak spot: McNeese rank 280th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
  3. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Grambling 184th (0.20), McNeese 280th (0.18) of 363.
  4. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  5. Team matchup: where Grambling can push back. Their offensive rebounding (62nd of 363) meets the McNeese defensive rebounding (140th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean McNeese on paper, but Shaniah Nunn (12.3 pts, 7.9 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 9.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Grambling win 475 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 90% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

GRAM Grambling

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

MCN McNeese

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

GRAMMCN
0-1Record0-0
-7.9 248Net rating+17.8 30
79.8 326Offensive rating96.3 104
87.7 89Defensive rating78.6 4
-1.7 346Strength of schedule-0.5 238
38.0% 351Effective FG%43.9% 231
45.0% 148Opponent eFG%45.2% 159
24.7 262Turnovers per 10015.8 2
35.8% 62Offensive rebound %30.1% 226
23.2% 3593-point %32.3% 103
75.6 40Pace68.6 294

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • McNeese 51 @ Grambling 75Nov 9, 2018
  • Grambling 75 @ McNeese 60Nov 22, 2017

What if?

Grambling9%
90%McNeese

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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