- Eastern Illinois 0-1 · OVC 0-0, 5th · L1
- Iowa AP #10 · 1-0 · Big Ten 0-0, 2nd · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | IOWA -26.6 |
| Total | n/a | 134.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | EIU +6966 IOWA -6966 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- IOWA 88, EIU 63
- 8 in 10 games
- IOWA by 10 to IOWA by 40
Advantages Why Iowa can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 12.6 points to Iowa in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Iowa 39th (+15.8), Eastern Illinois 340th (-21.3) of 363.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.9 points to Iowa in our ratings.
- Iowa's offense (104.9 points per 100 possessions, 31st in Division I) meets a Eastern Illinois defense that ranks 325th.
- Team matchup: where Iowa can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (12th of 363) meets the Eastern Illinois shooting defense (305th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (128th of 363) meets the Eastern Illinois defensive rebounding (209th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Ava Heiden (Iowa: 17.7 pts, 7.2 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 14.3) has the edge on Ava Stoller (Eastern Illinois: 11.5 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 6.2).
- Simulation: Iowa win 4,930 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Iowa may not
- Weak spot: Iowa rank 262nd of 363 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (20.7).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Team matchup: Eastern Illinois have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Iowa on paper, but Ava Stoller (11.5 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 6.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Eastern Illinois win 70 of 5,000 simulations (1%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
EIU Eastern Illinois
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
IOWA Iowa
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| EIU | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -21.3 340 | Net rating | +15.8 39 |
| 79.7 327 | Offensive rating | 104.9 31 |
| 101.0 325 | Defensive rating | 89.1 127 |
| -0.6 247 | Strength of schedule | +4.0 7 |
| 41.0% 317 | Effective FG% | 53.6% 12 |
| 48.6% 305 | Opponent eFG% | 46.0% 212 |
| 24.2 249 | Turnovers per 100 | 20.8 97 |
| 24.8% 331 | Offensive rebound % | 32.8% 128 |
| 28.9% 254 | 3-point % | 34.5% 34 |
| 71.3 173 | Pace | 72.6 114 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
Locks at kickoff · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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