21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
EMU

Eastern Michigan @ Purdue

NCAAW · · Mackey Arena

PUR

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
PURPurdue Boilermakers
63% to win
ModelEMU 37%PUR 63%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetPUR -3.7
Totaln/a139.5
Moneylinen/aEMU +170
PUR -170 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
PUR 77, EMU 73
8 in 10 games
EMU by 12 to PUR by 20
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Purdue can win

  1. Home court: Purdue play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Purdue's offense (97.1 points per 100 possessions, 91st in Division I) meets a Eastern Michigan defense that ranks 268th.
  3. Three-point shooting: Purdue 65th (33.3%), Eastern Michigan 287th (28.0%) of 363.
  4. Strength of schedule: Purdue 35th (+2.5), Eastern Michigan 196th (-0.2) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: where Purdue can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (73rd of 363) meets the Eastern Michigan shooting defense (276th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Purdue, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Madison Layden-Zay (10.2 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.3 ast, Game Score 7.6) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Purdue win 3,145 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Purdue may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Eastern Michigan about 2.6 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Eastern Michigan's offense (92.4 points per 100 possessions, 163rd in Division I) meets a Purdue defense that ranks 319th.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Purdue lose by 12 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Purdue rank 342nd of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (50.2%).
  5. Team matchup: where Eastern Michigan can push back. Their shooting efficiency (129th of 363) meets the Purdue shooting defense (342nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Sisi Eleko (Eastern Michigan: 17.6 pts, 9.9 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 10.9) has the edge on Madison Layden-Zay (Purdue: 10.2 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.3 ast, Game Score 7.6).
  7. Upset odds: Eastern Michigan win 1,855 of 5,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

EMU Eastern Michigan

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

PUR Purdue

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

EMUPUR
0-1Record1-0
-3.5 213Net rating-3.4 211
92.4 163Offensive rating97.1 91
96.0 268Defensive rating100.5 319
-0.2 196Strength of schedule+2.5 35
46.6% 129Effective FG%49.2% 73
47.5% 276Opponent eFG%50.2% 342
23.6 219Turnovers per 10022.1 143
30.5% 206Offensive rebound %32.0% 162
28.0% 2873-point %33.3% 65
71.6 164Pace71.9 150

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • Eastern Michigan 50 @ Purdue 77Dec 17, 2016
  • Eastern Michigan 50 @ Purdue 56Mar 17, 2010 · Postseason

What if?

Eastern Michigan37%
63%Purdue

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat