- Morgan State 1-0 · MEAC 0-0, 2nd · W1
- Colorado 0-0 · Big 12 0-0, 15th
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | COLO -16.9 |
| Total | n/a | 129.5 |
| Moneyline | n/a | MORG +1216 COLO -1216 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- COLO 83, MORG 66
- 8 in 10 games
- COLO by 1 to COLO by 33
Advantages Why Colorado can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.7 points to Colorado in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Colorado 82nd (+9.4), Morgan State 352nd (-26.7) of 363.
- Colorado's offense (95.8 points per 100 possessions, 113th in Division I) meets a Morgan State defense that ranks 338th.
- Home court: Colorado play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where Colorado can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (38th of 363) meets the Morgan State defensive rebounding (354th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (96th of 363) meets the Morgan State ball security (327th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Anaëlle Dutat (Colorado: 8.6 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.9) has the edge on Kailyn Nash (Morgan State: 9.8 pts, 5.6 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 5.6).
- Simulation: Colorado win 4,620 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Colorado may not
- Three-point shooting: Morgan State 215th (29.7%), Colorado 311th (27.3%) of 363.
- Weak spot: Colorado rank 311th of 363 in three-point shooting (27.3%).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Morgan State have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Colorado on paper, but Kailyn Nash (9.8 pts, 5.6 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 5.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Morgan State win 380 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
MORG Morgan State
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
COLO Colorado
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| MORG | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -26.7 352 | Net rating | +9.4 82 |
| 75.7 348 | Offensive rating | 95.8 113 |
| 102.4 338 | Defensive rating | 86.4 62 |
| -0.4 213 | Strength of schedule | +2.3 44 |
| 38.5% 349 | Effective FG% | 45.9% 154 |
| 49.0% 315 | Opponent eFG% | 45.0% 149 |
| 26.9 327 | Turnovers per 100 | 23.3 201 |
| 25.6% 317 | Offensive rebound % | 37.2% 38 |
| 29.7% 215 | 3-point % | 27.3% 311 |
| 70.5 217 | Pace | 70.5 220 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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