- Sam Houston 1-0 · CUSA 0-0, 6th · W1
- Houston 1-0 · Big 12 0-0, 5th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | SHSU -4.8 |
| Total | n/a | 136.8 |
| Moneyline | n/a | SHSU -183 HOU +183 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- HOU 73, SHSU 78
- 8 in 10 games
- SHSU by 21 to HOU by 12
Advantages Why Sam Houston can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.9 points to Sam Houston in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Sam Houston about 3.8 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Sam Houston 155th (+1.4), Houston 310th (-15.1) of 363.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.9 points to Sam Houston in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Sam Houston can take advantage. Their ball pressure (4th of 363) meets the Houston ball security (282nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (95th of 363) meets the Houston defensive rebounding (291st): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: At forward, Deborah Ogayemi (Sam Houston: 11.8 pts, 7.2 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 10.8) has the edge on Amirah Abdur-Rahim (Houston: 8.4 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 5.0); best player against best player, Fanta Kone (Sam Houston: 13.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 5.2 ast, Game Score 11.8) has the edge on TK Pitts (Houston: 9.5 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 8.0).
- Simulation: Sam Houston win 3,230 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Sam Houston may not
- Home court: Houston play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: Houston 40th (+2.3), Sam Houston 166th (+0.0) of 363.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Sam Houston lose by 12 or more.
- Weak spot: Sam Houston rank 338th of 363 in three-point shooting (25.9%).
- Team matchup: where Houston can push back. Their ball pressure (85th of 363) meets the Sam Houston ball security (230th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (234th of 363) meets the Sam Houston defensive rebounding (327th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Sam Houston on paper, but TK Pitts (9.5 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 8.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Houston win 1,770 of 5,000 simulations (35%). A 65% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
SHSU Sam Houston
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
HOU Houston
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| SHSU | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| +1.4 155 | Net rating | -15.1 310 |
| 85.8 256 | Offensive rating | 82.0 306 |
| 84.4 37 | Defensive rating | 97.1 286 |
| +0.0 166 | Strength of schedule | +2.3 40 |
| 41.6% 303 | Effective FG% | 40.9% 320 |
| 47.8% 282 | Opponent eFG% | 49.2% 318 |
| 23.9 230 | Turnovers per 100 | 25.0 282 |
| 34.1% 95 | Offensive rebound % | 29.9% 234 |
| 25.9% 338 | 3-point % | 26.7% 321 |
| 73.5 82 | Pace | 75.1 45 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Sam Houston 65 @ Houston 106Nov 14, 2023
Your pick
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What changed
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What if?
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
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