- North Alabama 0-1 · UAC 0-0, 6th · L1
- Ole Miss AP #19 · 1-0 · SEC 0-0, 8th · W1
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | MISS -20.8 |
| Total | n/a | 133.6 |
| Moneyline | n/a | UNA +2865 MISS -2865 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- MISS 85, UNA 64
- 8 in 10 games
- MISS by 5 to MISS by 36
Advantages Why Ole Miss can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.7 points to Ole Miss in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Ole Miss about 4.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Ole Miss 26th (+19.3), North Alabama 217th (-3.9) of 363.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.8 points to Ole Miss in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Ole Miss can take advantage. Their ball pressure (62nd of 363) meets the North Alabama ball security (174th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (9th of 363) meets the North Alabama defensive rebounding (107th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Cotie McMahon (Ole Miss: 19.5 pts, 5.1 reb, 3.0 ast, Game Score 12.9) has the edge on Alexsandra Alvarado (North Alabama: 13.7 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.4 ast, Game Score 8.1).
- Simulation: Ole Miss win 4,830 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Ole Miss may not
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
- Team matchup: a strength Ole Miss may not get to use. Their shooting efficiency (108th of 363) meets the North Alabama shooting defense (78th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Ole Miss on paper, but Alexsandra Alvarado (13.7 pts, 3.7 reb, 3.4 ast, Game Score 8.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: North Alabama win 170 of 5,000 simulations (3%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 3 times in 100.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
UNA North Alabama
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
MISS Ole Miss
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| UNA | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| -3.9 217 | Net rating | +19.3 26 |
| 87.1 245 | Offensive rating | 105.2 28 |
| 90.9 174 | Defensive rating | 85.9 53 |
| -1.3 320 | Strength of schedule | +3.0 15 |
| 44.2% 218 | Effective FG% | 47.4% 108 |
| 43.8% 78 | Opponent eFG% | 44.6% 122 |
| 22.8 174 | Turnovers per 100 | 19.7 64 |
| 30.1% 221 | Offensive rebound % | 40.2% 9 |
| 27.9% 288 | 3-point % | 29.7% 214 |
| 72.1 142 | Pace | 71.6 163 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
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