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AAMU

Alabama A&M @ Alabama

NCAAW · · Coleman Coliseum

ALA

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
ALAAlabama Crimson Tide
83% to win
ModelAAMU 17%ALA 83%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 83% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetALA -11.2
Totaln/a128.9
Moneylinen/aAAMU +485
ALA -485 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
ALA 81, AAMU 69
8 in 10 games
AAMU by 5 to ALA by 27
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Alabama can win

  1. Home court: Alabama play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Alabama 10th (+3.5), Alabama A&M 349th (-1.8) of 363.
  3. Three-point shooting: Alabama 12th (36.4%), Alabama A&M 347th (25.2%) of 363.
  4. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.1 points to Alabama in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Alabama can take advantage. Their ball pressure (230th of 363) meets the Alabama A&M ball security (331st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Essence Cody (Alabama: 11.5 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 8.7) has the edge on Jaida Belton (Alabama A&M: 7.5 pts, 7.0 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 7.1); best player against best player, Jessica Timmons (Alabama: 16.3 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.7) has the edge on Kalia Walker (Alabama A&M: 14.5 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 9.3).
  7. Simulation: Alabama win 4,145 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Alabama may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Alabama lose by 5 or more.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Alabama A&M 12th (0.27), Alabama 186th (0.20) of 363.
  3. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  4. Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  5. Team matchup: where Alabama A&M can push back. Their ball pressure (25th of 363) meets the Alabama ball security (116th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (50th of 363) meets the Alabama defensive rebounding (117th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Alabama on paper, but Kalia Walker (14.5 pts, 2.9 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 9.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Alabama A&M win 855 of 5,000 simulations (17%). A 83% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

AAMU Alabama A&M

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

ALA Alabama

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

AAMUALA
0-0Record1-0
+2.9 139Net rating+13.2 57
85.5 260Offensive rating101.1 51
82.6 17Defensive rating88.0 94
-1.8 349Strength of schedule+3.5 10
42.2% 289Effective FG%51.3% 24
42.6% 42Opponent eFG%43.1% 52
27.3 331Turnovers per 10021.3 116
36.3% 50Offensive rebound %30.1% 224
25.2% 3473-point %36.4% 12
69.9 243Pace69.8 247

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

  • Alabama A&M 43 @ Alabama 66Nov 17, 2025
  • Alabama 84 @ Alabama A&M 59Nov 7, 2024
  • Alabama A&M 51 @ Alabama 98Nov 7, 2022
  • Alabama A&M 32 @ Alabama 90Nov 10, 2017
  • Alabama A&M 29 @ Alabama 97Nov 27, 2016

What if?

Alabama A&M17%
83%Alabama

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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