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SIUE

SIU Edwardsville @ IU Indianapolis

NCAAW Β· Β· James T. Morris Arena

IUIN

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
IUINIU Indianapolis Jaguars
58% to win
ModelSIUE 42%IUIN 58%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetIUIN -2.4
Totaln/a132.7
Moneylinen/aSIUE +137
IUIN -137 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
IUIN 76, SIUE 74
8 in 10 games
SIUE by 14 to IUIN by 19
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why IU Indianapolis can win

  1. Home court: IU Indianapolis play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): IU Indianapolis 9th (0.28), SIU Edwardsville 321st (0.16) of 363.
  3. Strength of schedule: IU Indianapolis 239th (-0.5), SIU Edwardsville 358th (-2.3) of 363.
  4. Strength: IU Indianapolis rank 9th of 363 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.28).
  5. Team matchup: where IU Indianapolis can take advantage. Their ball pressure (55th of 363) meets the SIU Edwardsville ball security (192nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. Pace clash: IU Indianapolis play fast (99th of 363 in pace), SIU Edwardsville slow (317th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors IU Indianapolis. The closest: best player against best player, Hailey Smith (IU Indianapolis: 10.3 pts, 5.8 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 8.3) is about even with Kiyoko Proctor (SIU Edwardsville: 13.5 pts, 2.3 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.3).
  7. Simulation: IU Indianapolis win 2,890 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why IU Indianapolis may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.5 points to SIU Edwardsville in our ratings.
  2. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): SIU Edwardsville 34th (73.6%), IU Indianapolis 319th (64.2%) of 363.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.1 points to SIU Edwardsville in our ratings.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations IU Indianapolis lose by 14 or more.
  5. Team matchup: where SIU Edwardsville can push back. Their offensive rebounding (159th of 363) meets the IU Indianapolis defensive rebounding (319th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (207th of 363) meets the IU Indianapolis shooting defense (340th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean IU Indianapolis on paper, but Kiyoko Proctor (13.5 pts, 2.3 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: SIU Edwardsville win 2,110 of 5,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

SIUE SIU Edwardsville

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

IUIN IU Indianapolis

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

SIUEIUIN
0-0Record0-1
-3.3 210Net rating-7.3 244
88.8 220Offensive rating89.1 212
92.2 204Defensive rating96.4 274
-2.3 358Strength of schedule-0.5 239
44.5% 207Effective FG%43.9% 235
44.5% 118Opponent eFG%49.9% 340
23.2 192Turnovers per 10022.7 169
32.1% 159Offensive rebound %28.2% 275
30.6% 1703-point %27.6% 301
67.6 317Pace73.1 99

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

  • IUPUI 85 @ SIU Edwardsville 67Dec 11, 2015
  • SIU Edwardsville 76 @ IUPUI 87Nov 25, 2014

What if?

SIU Edwardsville42%
58%IU Indianapolis

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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