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M-OH

Miami (OH) @ Southeast Missouri State

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SEMO

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
M-OHMiami (OH) RedHawks
72% to win
ModelM-OH 72%SEMO 28%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetM-OH -6.7
Totaln/a131.1
Moneylinen/aM-OH -259
SEMO +259 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
SEMO 72, M-OH 78.5
8 in 10 games
M-OH by 22 to SEMO by 9
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Miami (OH) can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 9.2 points to Miami (OH) in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Miami (OH) 60th (+12.9), Southeast Missouri State 243rd (-6.8) of 363.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.0 points to Miami (OH) in our ratings.
  4. Miami (OH)'s offense (97.1 points per 100 possessions, 94th in Division I) meets a Southeast Missouri State defense that ranks 244th.
  5. Team matchup: where Miami (OH) can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (28th of 363) meets the Southeast Missouri State shooting defense (207th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (23rd of 363) meets the Southeast Missouri State ball security (172nd): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Amber Tretter (Miami (OH): 14.1 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 12.1) has the edge on Carmen Taylor (Southeast Missouri State: 12.8 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 7.3).
  7. Simulation: Miami (OH) win 3,605 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Miami (OH) may not

  1. Home court: Southeast Missouri State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Miami (OH) lose by 9 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Miami (OH) rank 322nd of 363 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (25.5%).
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Southeast Missouri State 33rd (0.25), Miami (OH) 169th (0.20) of 363.
  5. Team matchup: Southeast Missouri State have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Miami (OH) on paper, but Carmen Taylor (12.8 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 7.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Southeast Missouri State win 1,395 of 5,000 simulations (28%). A 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

M-OH Miami (OH)

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

SEMO Southeast Missouri State

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

M-OHSEMO
1-0Record0-1
+12.9 60Net rating-6.8 243
97.1 94Offensive rating87.5 238
84.2 33Defensive rating94.3 244
-0.5 240Strength of schedule-1.1 299
51.2% 28Effective FG%45.5% 165
43.8% 81Opponent eFG%46.0% 207
22.3 152Turnovers per 10022.8 172
25.5% 322Offensive rebound %25.3% 326
35.1% 273-point %29.1% 245
71.0 186Pace72.6 112

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Miami (OH)72%
28%Southeast Missouri State

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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