- Los Angeles Rams 4-4 · 9th in the NFC · 3rd in the NFC West · W2
- Washington Commanders 2-4-1 · 14th in the NFC · 3rd in the NFC East · W1
Game day
KickoffWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | LA -5.5 | Same |
| Total | 47.5 | Same |
| Moneyline | LA -238 WAS +195 | LA -214 WAS +214 fair |
Line: our last refresh, nflverse. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Advantages Why the Rams can win
- Season-long ratings: over the season, betting lines have rated Rams about 4.7 points stronger.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to Rams in our ratings.
- Point differential per game: Rams rank 11th (+3.2), Commanders 24th (-3.3).
- Team matchup: where the Rams can take advantage. Their running game (13th of 32) meets the Commanders run defense (31st), so look for them to lean on the run and control the clock.
- Star matchup: In the backfield, Kyren Williams (Rams: 68 rushing yards a game, 4.9 a carry) has the edge on Rachaad White (Commanders: 29, 4.3; filling in for Jacory Croskey-Merritt, on injured reserve), facing the Commanders run defense (31st of 32); at receiver, Puka Nacua (Rams: 71 receiving yards a game, 3 TD) has the edge on Antonio Williams (Commanders: 37, 1 TD), facing the Commanders pass defense (15th of 32).
- Simulation: Rams win 6,820 of 10,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: Rams 68% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why the Rams may not
- Turnover margin per game: Commanders rank 1st (+1.0), Rams 26th (-0.5).
- Travel: Rams cross 3 time zones for this one.
- Home field: Commanders play at home, worth roughly 1 to 2 points in recent seasons.
- Explosive plays (20+ yards) per game: Commanders rank 5th (4.0), Rams 19th (3.4).
- Team matchup: the Commanders have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through turnovers, special teams and a few big plays.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean the Rams on paper, but quarterback Jayden Daniels (976 yards, 6 TD) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Commanders win 3,180 of 10,000 simulations (32%). A 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Side by side
| LA | WAS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 2-4-1 |
| 24.2 10 | Points per game | 22.7 17 |
| 21.0 12 | Points allowed | 26.0 26 |
| +0.05 10 | Offense EPA/play | +0.01 17 |
| -0.10 3 | Defense EPA/play allowed | +0.04 20 |
| -0.5 26 | Turnover margin/game | +1.0 1 |
| 4.4% 27 | Sacks per dropback | 5.9% 19 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Game | Score | Winner | Closing line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-17 | 2023 Wk 15 | WAS 20 @ LA 28 | LA | LA -6.5 |
| 2020-10-11 | 2020 Wk 5 | LA 30 @ WAS 10 | LA | LA -7 |
| 2017-09-17 | 2017 Wk 2 | WAS 27 @ LA 20 | WAS | LA -3 |
| 2015-09-20 | 2015 Wk 2 | LA 10 @ WAS 24 | WAS | LA -3 |
| 2014-12-07 | 2014 Wk 14 | LA 24 @ WAS 0 | LA | LA -2.5 |
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat