- New York Giants 4-2-1 · 3rd in the NFC · 1st in the NFC East · W1
- Philadelphia Eagles 2-6 · 16th in the NFC · 4th in the NFC East · L6
Game day
KickoffWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | NYG -3.5 | Same |
| Total | 40.5 | Same |
| Moneyline | NYG -175 PHI +145 | NYG -169 PHI +169 fair |
Line: our last refresh, nflverse. Odds move; check a sportsbook before acting.
10,000 simulated games
Your pick
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What if?
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Our number.
Advantages Why the Giants can win
- Recent form: average margin over the last three games, Giants -0.3, Eagles -15.0.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to Giants in our ratings.
- Point differential per game: Giants rank 17th (+0.3), Eagles 30th (-8.1).
- Team matchup: where the Giants can take advantage. Their big-play offense (10th of 32) meets the Eagles defense against big plays (23rd), so look for them to take shots downfield for chunk plays. And their running game (16th of 32) meets the Eagles run defense (28th): a chance to lean on the run and control the clock.
- Star matchup: At quarterback, J.J. McCarthy (Giants: +0.20 EPA per dropback, 8th of 33) has the edge on Tanner McKee (Eagles: -0.18, 31st); at receiver, Malik Nabers (Giants: 86 receiving yards a game, 2 TD) has the edge on DeVonta Smith (Eagles: 39, 2 TD), facing the Eagles pass defense (25th of 32).
- The betting market agrees: Giants 61% to win after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
- Simulation: Giants win 6,290 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why the Giants may not
- Season-long ratings: over the season, betting lines have rated Eagles about 2.1 points stronger.
- Quarterback change: Giants are starting a different quarterback than usual.
- Home field: Eagles play at home, worth roughly 1 to 2 points in recent seasons.
- Division game: these teams play twice a year and know each other, which tends to tighten the margin.
- Team matchup: the Eagles have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through turnovers, special teams and a few big plays.
- Star matchup: Off the edge, Jalen Carter (Eagles: 4 sacks) has the edge on Andru Phillips (Giants: 2; filling in for Tremaine Edmunds, missed the last game), facing the Giants pass protection (25th of 32).
- Upset odds: Eagles win 3,710 of 10,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Side by side
| NYG | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2-1 | Record | 2-6 |
| 23.3 13 | Points per game | 17.1 30 |
| 23.0 15 | Points allowed | 25.2 21 |
| +0.00 18 | Offense EPA/play | -0.12 31 |
| +0.00 16 | Defense EPA/play allowed | +0.09 29 |
| -0.3 22 | Turnover margin/game | -0.5 26 |
| 3.9% 30 | Sacks per dropback | 3.5% 31 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Game | Score | Winner | Closing line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-26 | 2025 Wk 8 | NYG 20 @ PHI 38 | PHI | PHI -7 |
| 2025-10-09 | 2025 Wk 6 | PHI 17 @ NYG 34 | NYG | PHI -7 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2024 Wk 18 | NYG 13 @ PHI 20 | PHI | PHI -3 |
| 2024-10-20 | 2024 Wk 7 | PHI 28 @ NYG 3 | PHI | PHI -3 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2023 Wk 18 | PHI 10 @ NYG 27 | NYG | PHI -4.5 |
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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