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EDM

Oilers @ Devils

NHL · · Prudential Center

NJ
The puck has dropped. The pick below is locked and counts toward the track record.

Game day

Puck drop

Warmups

Our pick · locked at kickoff
NJNew Jersey Devils
59% to win
ModelEDM 41%NJ 59%
MarketEDM 41%NJ 59%

Same as the market. Not a promise: a 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
MoneylineEDM +136
NJ -162
EDM +146
NJ -146 fair
Puck lineNJ -1.5 (+154)NJ covers 38%
Total goals6.56.5 · over 50%

Line: , ESPN. Odds move; check a book before acting. In hockey the moneyline carries the market's view; the puck line is almost always 1.5 goals, with the price doing the work.

5,000 simulated games

Expected goals
NJ 3.5, EDM 3.0
8 in 10 games
EDM by 3 to NJ by 4
Tied after 60 minutes
21%
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Devils can win

  1. Home ice: Devils play at home, with the last line change; home teams win about 54% of NHL games.
  2. Shot margins: Devils have controlled play better (shots for and against, adjusted for opponents), worth about 0.26 goals to them in our ratings.
  3. Shot share (their shots of all shots on goal): Devils 2nd (56.8%), Oilers 17th (49.6%) of 32.
  4. Team matchup: where Devils can take advantage. Their shot volume (2nd of 32) meets the Oilers shot suppression (12th), so look for them to pile up shots and make the goalie work all night.
  5. Star matchup: no key position favors Devils, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Jack Hughes (6 G, 10 A in 14 games, 20 min a night) leading the way.
  6. The betting market agrees: Devils 59% to win on the moneyline, after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
  7. Simulation: Devils win 2,965 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Devils may not

  1. Power-play goals per game: Oilers 3rd (1.13), Devils 23rd (0.50) of 32.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Devils lose by 3 goals or more.
  3. Weak spot: Devils rank 31st of 32 in faceoffs won (50.2%).
  4. Weak spot: Devils rank 24th of 32 in shooting percentage (10.5%).
  5. Team matchup: where Oilers can push back. Their finishing (1st of 32) meets the Devils goaltending (21st), so look for them to bury the chances they get. And their scoring (1st of 32) meets the Devils goal prevention (6th): a chance to turn chances into goals against a team that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best skater against best skater, Connor McDavid (Oilers: 9 G, 30 A in 15 games, 24 min a night) has the edge on Jack Hughes (Devils: 6 G, 10 A in 14 games, 20 min a night).
  7. Upset odds: Oilers win 2,035 of 5,000 simulations (41%). A 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10. About 21% of the simulations went past regulation.

In goal

EDM Oilers

  • ConfirmedTristan Jarry0.901 save %, 7 starts, -0.7 goals saved above average

NJ Devils

  • ConfirmedConnor Hellebuyck0.923 save %, 2 starts, +0.7 goals saved above average

"Confirmed" and "Expected" are ESPN's. Starters are usually named at the morning skate or in warmups; until then we expect the team's usual starter, or the backup on the second night of a back-to-back.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

EDM Oilers

  • OutDevon Levi Ginjured reserve · ESPN team rosters, Oct 24, 2026

NJ Devils

  • Sat outDawson Mercersat out last game

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideStandings

EDMNJ
11-2-2Record9-5-0
+1.33 2Goal differential/game+0.57 6
4.27 1Goals per game3.43 11
2.93 7Goals allowed2.86 6
49.6% 17Shot share56.8% 2
25.9 22Shots per game32.6 2
26.4 12Shots allowed24.8 6
16.5% 1Shooting %10.5% 24
0.896 10Save %0.888 21
1.13 3Power-play goals/game0.50 23
8.4 10Penalty minutes/game5.6 1
54.8% 22Faceoffs won50.2% 31
-0.15 29Strength of schedule+0.01 15

Small numbers are ranks among the 32 NHL teams (1 = best). Records are wins, regulation losses and overtime or shootout losses. Strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced, in goals (2026-27 season).

Last 5 meetings

  • Devils 2 @ Oilers 1Jan 20, 2026
  • Oilers 3 @ Devils 5Oct 18, 2025
  • Oilers 2 @ Devils 3Mar 13, 2025
  • Devils 3 @ Oilers 0Nov 4, 2024
  • Oilers 6 @ Devils 3Dec 21, 2023

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

Based on market line + adjustments. How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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