- Hurricanes 12-3-2 · 26 pts · 1st East · 1st Metropolitan Division · L1
- Islanders 7-5-2 · 16 pts · 13th East · 5th Metropolitan Division · L1
Game day
Puck dropWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CAR -166 NYI +140 | CAR -150 NYI +150 fair |
| Puck line | CAR -1.5 (+150) | CAR covers 37% |
| Total goals | 5.5 | 5.5 · over 43% |
Line: , DraftKings. Odds move; check a book before acting. In hockey the moneyline carries the market's view; the puck line is almost always 1.5 goals, with the price doing the work.
5,000 simulated games
- Expected goals
- NYI 2.5, CAR 3.0
- 8 in 10 games
- CAR by 3 to NYI by 3
- Tied after 60 minutes
- 24%
Advantages Why Hurricanes can win
- Shot margins: Hurricanes have controlled play better (shots for and against, adjusted for opponents), worth about 0.48 goals to them in our ratings.
- Recent form: average goal margin over the last five games, Hurricanes +2.0, Islanders -1.2.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Hurricanes about 0.30 goals a game stronger over recent games.
- Goal differential per game: Hurricanes 1st (+1.41), Islanders 14th (+0.07) of 32.
- Team matchup: where Hurricanes can take advantage. Their power play (9th of 32) meets the Islanders discipline (28th), so look for them to cash in on the power plays a penalty-prone team hands out. And their shot volume (1st of 32) meets the Islanders shot suppression (10th): a chance to pile up shots and make the goalie work all night.
- Star matchup: At wing, Jackson Blake (Hurricanes: 4 G, 13 A in 17 games, 18 min a night) has the edge on Simon Holmstrom (Islanders: 4 G, 3 A in 14 games, 18 min a night); in goal, Pyotr Kochetkov (Hurricanes: 0.921 save percentage in 11 starts) has the edge on Ilya Sorokin (Islanders: 0.911 in 10).
- The betting market agrees: Hurricanes 60% to win on the moneyline, after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why Hurricanes may not
- Home ice: Islanders play at home, with the last line change; home teams win about 54% of NHL games.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Hurricanes lose by 3 goals or more.
- Rest: 5 days off for Islanders, 2 for Hurricanes.
- Strength of schedule: Islanders 19th (-0.03), Hurricanes 32nd (-0.18) of 32.
- Team matchup: a strength Hurricanes may not get to use. Their scoring (3rd of 32) meets the Islanders goal prevention (5th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to turn chances into goals against a team that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Hurricanes on paper, but Matthew Schaefer (4 G, 10 A in 14 games, 27 min a night; filling in for Matias Maccelli, missed the last 6 games) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Islanders win 2,000 of 5,000 simulations (40%). A 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10. About 24% of the simulations went past regulation.
In goal
CAR Hurricanes
- ExpectedPyotr Kochetkov0.921 save %, 11 starts, +3.8 goals saved above average
NYI Islanders
- ExpectedIlya Sorokin0.911 save %, 10 starts, +1.6 goals saved above average
"Confirmed" and "Expected" are as reported. Starters are usually named at the morning skate or in warmups; until then we expect the team's usual starter, or the backup on the second night of a back-to-back.
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Team news
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Who's out
CAR Hurricanes
- QuestionableTaylor Hall LWday-to-day · ESPN team rosters, Nov 4, 2026
NYI Islanders
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| CAR | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3-2 | Record | 7-5-2 |
| +1.41 1 | Goal differential/game | +0.07 14 |
| 3.76 3 | Goals per game | 2.86 25 |
| 2.35 2 | Goals allowed | 2.79 5 |
| 59.7% 1 | Shot share | 49.6% 15 |
| 32.9 1 | Shots per game | 25.6 22 |
| 22.2 1 | Shots allowed | 26.1 10 |
| 11.4% 18 | Shooting % | 11.1% 20 |
| 0.899 8 | Save % | 0.907 3 |
| 0.82 9 | Power-play goals/game | 0.50 26 |
| 8.0 7 | Penalty minutes/game | 11.7 28 |
| 58.6% 8 | Faceoffs won | 58.5% 9 |
| -0.18 32 | Strength of schedule | -0.03 19 |
Small numbers are ranks among the 32 NHL teams (1 = best). Records are wins, regulation losses and overtime or shootout losses. Strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced, in goals (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- Hurricanes 2 @ Islanders 1Apr 14, 2026
- Islanders 3 @ Hurricanes 4Apr 4, 2026
- Islanders 2 @ Hurricanes 6Oct 30, 2025
- Islanders 4 @ Hurricanes 6Mar 30, 2025
- Hurricanes 2 @ Islanders 3Jan 25, 2025 · OT
Your pick
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What if?
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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