- Stars 9-5-1 · 19 pts · 5th West · 3rd Central Division · W2
- Blue Jackets 6-7-0 · 12 pts · 14th East · 6th Metropolitan Division · W1
Game day
Puck dropWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | DAL -130 CBJ +110 | DAL -119 CBJ +119 fair |
| Puck line | DAL -1.5 (+195) | DAL covers 31% |
| Total goals | 5.5 | 5.5 · over 42% |
Line: , DraftKings. Odds move; check a book before acting. In hockey the moneyline carries the market's view; the puck line is almost always 1.5 goals, with the price doing the work.
5,000 simulated games
- Expected goals
- CBJ 2.6, DAL 2.9
- 8 in 10 games
- DAL by 3 to CBJ by 3
- Tied after 60 minutes
- 23%
Advantages Why Stars can win
- Goal differential per game: Stars 7th (+0.53), Blue Jackets 24th (-0.38) of 32.
- Shot share (their shots of all shots on goal): Stars 8th (53.0%), Blue Jackets 24th (48.5%) of 32.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Stars about 0.16 goals a game stronger over recent games.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Stars. The nearest thing to one: their finishing (17th of 32) meets the Blue Jackets goaltending (16th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: In goal, Jake Oettinger (Stars: 0.910 save percentage in 12 starts) has the edge on Jet Greaves (Blue Jackets: 0.882 in 7); best skater against best skater, Jason Robertson (Stars: 8 G, 10 A in 15 games, 20 min a night) has the edge on Zach Werenski (Blue Jackets: 0 G, 12 A in 13 games, 28 min a night).
- The betting market agrees: Stars 54% to win on the moneyline, after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
- Simulation: Stars win 2,715 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Stars may not
- Home ice: Blue Jackets play at home, with the last line change; home teams win about 54% of NHL games.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Stars lose by 3 goals or more.
- Strength of schedule: Blue Jackets 5th (+0.16), Stars 15th (+0.01) of 32.
- Weak spot: Stars rank 25th of 32 in shots on goal per game (25.40).
- Team matchup: Blue Jackets have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot goalie, special teams and a few lucky bounces.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Stars on paper, but Zach Werenski (0 G, 12 A in 13 games, 28 min a night) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Blue Jackets win 2,285 of 5,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10. About 23% of the simulations went past regulation.
In goal
DAL Stars
- ExpectedJake Oettinger0.910 save %, 12 starts, +1.2 goals saved above average
CBJ Blue Jackets
- ExpectedJet Greaves0.882 save %, 7 starts, -4.1 goals saved above average
"Confirmed" and "Expected" are as reported. Starters are usually named at the morning skate or in warmups; until then we expect the team's usual starter, or the backup on the second night of a back-to-back.
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Team news
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Who's out
DAL Stars
- QuestionableMiro Heiskanen Dday-to-day · ESPN team rosters, Nov 4, 2026
CBJ Blue Jackets
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| DAL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5-1 | Record | 6-7-0 |
| +0.53 7 | Goal differential/game | -0.38 24 |
| 2.93 24 | Goals per game | 2.77 26 |
| 2.40 4 | Goals allowed | 3.15 14 |
| 53.0% 8 | Shot share | 48.5% 24 |
| 25.4 25 | Shots per game | 25.3 26 |
| 22.5 2 | Shots allowed | 26.9 13 |
| 11.5% 17 | Shooting % | 10.9% 22 |
| 0.905 4 | Save % | 0.891 16 |
| 0.53 23 | Power-play goals/game | 0.46 30 |
| 8.7 13 | Penalty minutes/game | 8.2 8 |
| 61.9% 1 | Faceoffs won | 59.9% 3 |
| +0.01 15 | Strength of schedule | +0.16 5 |
Small numbers are ranks among the 32 NHL teams (1 = best). Records are wins, regulation losses and overtime or shootout losses. Strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced, in goals (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- Blue Jackets 1 @ Stars 3Oct 31, 2026
- Stars 0 @ Blue Jackets 1Jan 22, 2026
- Blue Jackets 5 @ Stars 1Oct 21, 2025
- Stars 4 @ Blue Jackets 6Feb 25, 2025
- Blue Jackets 3 @ Stars 5Feb 2, 2025
Your pick
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What if?
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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