Game day
Puck dropWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | VAN +190 WPG -230 | VAN +202 WPG -202 fair |
| Puck line | WPG -1.5 (+102) | WPG covers 46% |
| Total goals | 6.5 | 6.5 · over 49% |
Line: , DraftKings. Odds move; check a book before acting. In hockey the moneyline carries the market's view; the puck line is almost always 1.5 goals, with the price doing the work.
5,000 simulated games
- Expected goals
- WPG 3.8, VAN 2.7
- 8 in 10 games
- VAN by 2 to WPG by 4
- Tied after 60 minutes
- 20%
Advantages Why Jets can win
- Shot margins: Jets have controlled play better (shots for and against, adjusted for opponents), worth about 0.33 goals to them in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Jets about 0.29 goals a game stronger over recent games.
- Home ice: Jets play at home, with the last line change; home teams win about 54% of NHL games.
- Team matchup: where Jets can take advantage. Their shot volume (15th of 32) meets the Canucks shot suppression (32nd), so look for them to pile up shots and make the goalie work all night.
- Star matchup: Best skater against best skater, Kyle Connor (Jets: 13 G, 4 A in 16 games, 22 min a night) has the edge on Elias Pettersson (Canucks: 4 G, 14 A in 17 games, 20 min a night).
- Simulation: Jets win 3,345 of 5,000 simulated games.
- The betting market agrees: Jets 67% to win on the moneyline, after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
Disadvantages Why Jets may not
- In goal: Leevi Merilainen (Canucks expected starter) has been the better goalie lately than Stuart Skinner (Jets expected starter, 0.882 save percentage in 11 starts), worth about 0.32 goals a game in our ratings.
- Recent form: average goal margin over the last five games, Canucks -1.0, Jets -3.0.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Jets lose by 2 goals or more.
- Faceoffs won: Canucks 6th (58.8%), Jets 29th (52.1%) of 32.
- Team matchup: where Canucks can push back. Their finishing (4th of 32) meets the Jets goaltending (26th), so look for them to bury the chances they get. And their scoring (20th of 32) meets the Jets goal prevention (28th): a chance to turn chances into goals against a team that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Jets on paper, but Elias Pettersson (4 G, 14 A in 17 games, 20 min a night) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Canucks win 1,655 of 5,000 simulations (33%). A 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10. About 20% of the simulations went past regulation.
In goal
VAN Canucks
- ExpectedLeevi Merilainenno starts for this team yet this season
WPG Jets
- ExpectedStuart Skinner0.882 save %, 11 starts, -6.9 goals saved above average
"Confirmed" and "Expected" are as reported. Starters are usually named at the morning skate or in warmups; until then we expect the team's usual starter, or the backup on the second night of a back-to-back.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
VAN Canucks
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
WPG Jets
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| VAN | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-13-1 | Record | 5-8-3 |
| -1.53 31 | Goal differential/game | -1.19 29 |
| 3.00 20 | Goals per game | 2.44 30 |
| 4.53 32 | Goals allowed | 3.62 28 |
| 40.8% 32 | Shot share | 48.6% 20 |
| 21.6 32 | Shots per game | 27.6 15 |
| 31.4 32 | Shots allowed | 29.2 25 |
| 13.9% 4 | Shooting % | 8.8% 32 |
| 0.859 32 | Save % | 0.882 26 |
| 0.71 14 | Power-play goals/game | 0.50 26 |
| 10.9 25 | Penalty minutes/game | 8.5 11 |
| 58.8% 6 | Faceoffs won | 52.1% 29 |
| +0.12 6 | Strength of schedule | +0.17 4 |
Small numbers are ranks among the 32 NHL teams (1 = best). Records are wins, regulation losses and overtime or shootout losses. Strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced, in goals (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- Canucks 2 @ Jets 3Mar 7, 2026 · OT
- Jets 3 @ Canucks 2Feb 25, 2026 · OT
- Jets 5 @ Canucks 3Nov 11, 2025
- Canucks 1 @ Jets 3Mar 30, 2025
- Jets 2 @ Canucks 6Mar 18, 2025
Your pick
Locks at puck drop · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat