21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
LEV

Levante @ Celta Vigo

La Liga · · Balaidos

CEL

Levante 2-4-5 · 10 pts · 18th La Liga · Form DDWLL
Celta Vigo 2-6-3 · 12 pts · 10th La Liga · Form LWWDL

Game day

Kickoff

Lineups

Our pick
CELCelta Vigo
52% to win

Draw 25% · Levante 23%

ModelLEV 23%CEL 52%
MarketLEV 23%CEL 52%

Same as the market. Not a promise: a 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10. In soccer a draw counts as a loss for a win pick.

The line

MarketAZMango
CEL win-12552% · -110
Draw+28025% · +304
LEV win+31023% · +336
CEL or draw–77%
LEV or draw–48%
HandicapCEL -0.5 (-135)CEL 52%
Total 2.5O -120 · U -110Over 56%

Line: , DraftKings. Odds move; check a book before acting. The chances shown are the market's (our own ratings didn't beat it in the backtest). Every bet here is settled on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

10,000 simulated matches

Expected goals
CEL 1.8, LEV 1.1
Likeliest scores (CEL first)
1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%)
Both teams score
57%
Clean sheet
CEL 32% · LEV 17%
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Celta Vigo can win

  1. Defense: Celta Vigo concede 0.91 a game, Levante 1.91.
  2. Goal difference: Celta Vigo are +0.00 a game this season (0.91 scored, 0.91 conceded); Levante -0.45.
  3. Clean sheets: Celta Vigo kept one in 45% of games, Levante in 18%.
  4. Home and away: Celta Vigo are 2-2-2 at home, Levante 0-3-3 on the road (wins-draws-losses).
  5. The table: Celta Vigo sit 10th with 12 points from 11 games, Levante 18th with 10.
  6. Home field: playing at home is worth about 0.27 goals a game in the La Liga, by our ratings of every match since 2012.
  7. Ratings: our goal ratings (results, shots and past closing odds since 2012) make Celta Vigo about 0.26 goals a game stronger than Levante before home field.

Disadvantages Why Celta Vigo may not

  1. Scoring: Levante score 1.45 goals a game, Celta Vigo 0.91.
  2. The draw: 25% of simulated matches ended level. In soccer a draw is a loss for anyone backing Celta Vigo to win; about one match in four ends that way.
  3. Fine margins: 61% of simulated matches were level or decided by one goal, so one chance, a deflection or a red card can turn it.
  4. Lineups: clubs name their starting eleven about an hour before kickoff, after our numbers were run, so who is rested or rotated in a busy week isn't in them.
  5. Upset odds: Levante won 23% of simulated matches. A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

LEV LevanteCEL Celta Vigo
La LigaLeagueLa Liga
18th, 10 ptsTable10th, 12 pts
1.45Goals for / game0.91
1.91Goals against / game0.91
4.3Shots on target / game3.0
5.2On target against / game4.5
18%Clean sheets45%
2-1-2Home W-D-L2-2-2
0-3-3Away W-D-L0-4-1
D-D-W-L-LLast fiveL-W-W-D-L

This season in each club's own league (ESPN's results and shots). Last five: every competition.

Last 5 meetings

  • May 12, 2026 · La Liga Celta Vigo 2-3 Levante
  • Nov 2, 2025 · La Liga Levante 1-2 Celta Vigo
  • Feb 21, 2022 · La Liga Celta Vigo 1-1 Levante
  • Sep 21, 2021 · La Liga Levante 0-2 Celta Vigo
  • Apr 30, 2021 · La Liga Celta Vigo 2-0 Levante

How we get these numbers: How it works · This matchup on any day

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat