21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
JT

Janice Tjen (1) vs Polina Kudermetova (6)

WTA · Chennai Open
Quarterfinal · Hard · Best of 3 · · Chennai, India

PK
Our pick
JTJanice Tjen
60% to win
ModelTjen 60%Kudermetova 40%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

How it plays out

62%straight sets
38%goes to a third set
22.3games on average (16 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

JT 2-039%
JT 2-121%
PK 2-117%
PK 2-023%

Fair game spread: Tjen by about 2.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aTjen -149
Kudermetova +149 fair
Game spreadn/aTjen -2.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Janice Tjen can win

  1. Head to head: leads 1-0 in tour-level meetings since 2010
  2. Kudermetova retired from a match in the last month, which often means an injury
  3. Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1668 to Kudermetova's 1634
  4. Higher rating for this match: 1668 to Kudermetova's 1656 (every tour result since 2010, weighted by who it came against, with hard counting extra)
  5. Seeded 1 to Kudermetova's 6
  6. Simulation: Tjen wins in straight sets 39% of the time

Disadvantages Why Janice Tjen may not

  1. Kudermetova · More matches on hard: 102 to Tjen's 61
  2. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  3. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  4. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  5. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  6. Upset odds: Kudermetova wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 61% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

JT TjenPK Kudermetova
1Seed6
INAFromUZB
1668Rating for this match1656
1668Rating, all surfaces1678
1668Rating, hard courts only1634
6-4Last 10 matches6-4
75Tour-level matches since 2010179
61Matches on hard102
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
4Matches in the last 2 weeks4

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head: Tjen 1-0 Kudermetova

  • JTGuangzhou Open · R16-2 6-2Oct 2026

Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.

Last 5 matches

JT Janice Tjen

  • WJoanna Garland7-6(1) 6-1Chennai Open · R2
  • WKatherine Hui6-1 6-2Chennai Open · R1
  • LHarriet Dart6-4 3-6 6-3Guangzhou Open · R2
  • WPolina Kudermetova6-2 6-2Guangzhou Open · R1
  • LAshlyn Krueger6-4 6-4Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R1

PK Polina Kudermetova

  • WOksana Selekhmeteva6-3 6-0Chennai Open · R2
  • WViktoria Morvayova6-3 4-6 6-1Chennai Open · R1
  • LJanice Tjen6-2 6-2Guangzhou Open · R1
  • LElena Rybakina5-0 ret.BNB Ningbo Open · R2
  • WCristina Bucsa7-6(5) 6-2BNB Ningbo Open · R1

Player news

Loading the latest headlines...

Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat