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Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi

WTA Β· Chennai Open
Quarterfinal Β· Hard Β· Best of 3 Β· Β· Chennai, India

MR
Our pick
RMRobin Montgomery
72% to win
ModelMontgomery 72%Revathi 28%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

How it plays out

66%straight sets
34%goes to a third set
21.6games on average (15 to 30, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

RM 2-051%
RM 2-121%
MR 2-113%
MR 2-015%

Fair game spread: Montgomery by about 4.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aMontgomery -261
Revathi +261 fair
Game spreadn/aMontgomery -4.5 fair
Total gamesn/a20.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Robin Montgomery can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1679 to Revathi's 1529
  2. Revathi has only 5 tour-level matches we can rate (often a qualifier or wildcard), so the rating is mostly a starting guess
  3. More matches on hard: 70 to Revathi's 5
  4. Simulation: Montgomery wins in straight sets 51% of the time

Disadvantages Why Robin Montgomery may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Revathi wins about 1 time in 4, and takes at least a set 49% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

RM MontgomeryMR Revathi
–Seed–
USAFromIND
1616Rating for this match1536
1679Rating, all surfaces1529
1552Rating, hard courts only1543
6-4Last 10 matches3-2
140Tour-level matches since 20105
70Matches on hard5
1 day agoLast match1 day ago
3Matches in the last 2 weeks2

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

RM Robin Montgomery

  • WJeline Vandromme6-4 3-6 7-5Chennai Open Β· R2
  • WPanna Udvardy6-4 1-6 6-1Chennai Open Β· R1
  • LLisa Pigato6-0 7-6(7)Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open Β· R1
  • LKatie Volynets7-5 7-5China Open Β· R1
  • WAnna-Lena Friedsam6-3 6-2China Open Β· QF (qualifying)

MR Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi

  • WWeronika Falkowska6-4 6-3Chennai Open Β· R2
  • WKatarzyna Kawa6-4 2-6 7-6(5)Chennai Open Β· R1
  • LLanlana Tararudee6-3 6-2L&T Mumbai Open Β· R1
  • LShrivalli Bhamidipaty6-1 6-4Chennai Open Β· R1
  • WNicole Fossa Huergo6-3 3-6 6-0L&T Mumbai Open Β· Q1

Player news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up Β· This matchup on its own

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