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WX

Wang Xinyu (6) vs Antonia Ruzic

WTA · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open
Round 2 · Hard · Best of 3 · · Centre Court, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China

AR
Our pick
WXWang Xinyu
52% to win
ModelXinyu 52%Ruzic 48%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

How it plays out

61%straight sets
39%goes to a third set
22.4games on average (16 to 31, 8 times in 10)

Set score (best of 3)

WX 2-032%
WX 2-120%
AR 2-119%
AR 2-029%

Fair game spread: Xinyu by about 0.5 games; fair total 21.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.

The line

MarketAZMango
Moneylinen/aXinyu -107
Ruzic +107 fair
Game spreadn/aXinyu -0.5 fair
Total gamesn/a21.5 fair

No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.

Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Wang Xinyu can win

  1. Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1667 to Ruzic's 1622
  2. More matches on hard: 195 to Ruzic's 79
  3. Fresher legs: 14 games played in the last three days to Ruzic's 23
  4. Seeded 6; Ruzic is unseeded
  5. Simulation: Xinyu wins in straight sets 32% of the time

Disadvantages Why Wang Xinyu may not

  1. One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
  2. Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
  3. Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
  4. Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
  5. Upset odds: Ruzic wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 68% of the time

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

WX XinyuAR Ruzic
6Seed–
CHNFromCRO
1643Rating for this match1622
1667Rating, all surfaces1622
1619Rating, hard courts only1622
4-6Last 10 matches5-5
282Tour-level matches since 2010138
195Matches on hard79
2 days agoLast matchtoday
2Matches in the last 2 weeks4

Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.

Head to head

No tour-level meeting since 2010.

Last 5 matches

WX Wang Xinyu

  • WAdithya Karunaratne6-1 6-1Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · R1
  • LAlycia Parks6-1 7-6(7)Toray Pan Pacific Open Tennis · R1
  • LWang Xiyu6-2 6-0Dongfeng Voyah Wuhan Open · R1
  • LSonay Kartal6-3 6-2China Open · R2
  • LTatiana Prozorova3-6 7-5 6-4Singapore Tennis Open presented by BNP Paribas · QF

AR Antonia Ruzic

  • WAlina Charaeva7-6(5) 6-4Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open · R1
  • LClaire Liu4-6 7-6(5) 6-4Guangzhou Open · R1
  • LKatie Boulter3-6 6-3 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open · QF
  • WKayla Day6-4 ret.Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R2
  • WPaula Badosa3-6 6-4 6-3Kinoshita Group Japan Open · R1

Player news

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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own

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