Sofya Lansere (8) vs Martyna Kubka (3)
WTA · Angola Ladies Open
Quarterfinal · Hard · Best of 3 · · Luanda, Angola
How it plays out
Set score (best of 3)
Fair game spread: Kubka by about 4.5 games; fair total 20.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on hard, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | n/a | Lansere +264 Kubka -264 fair |
| Game spread | n/a | Lansere +4.5 fair |
| Total games | n/a | 20.5 fair |
No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.
Advantages Why Martyna Kubka can win
- Stronger overall record: an all-surface rating of 1582 to Lansere's 1375
- Better on hard: a hard-court rating of 1594 to Lansere's 1430
- Seeded 3 to Lansere's 8
- Simulation: Kubka wins in straight sets 51% of the time
Disadvantages Why Martyna Kubka may not
- One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
- Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
- Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
- Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
- Upset odds: Lansere wins about 1 time in 4, and takes at least a set 49% of the time
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Side by side
| SL Lansere | MK Kubka | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Seed | 3 |
| RUS | From | POL |
| 1402 | Rating for this match | 1588 |
| 1375 | Rating, all surfaces | 1582 |
| 1430 | Rating, hard courts only | 1594 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 matches | 7-3 |
| 39 | Tour-level matches since 2010 | 32 |
| 25 | Matches on hard | 20 |
| 1 day ago | Last match | 1 day ago |
| 2 | Matches in the last 2 weeks | 5 |
Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the hard-court one, half and half.
Head to head
No tour-level meeting since 2010.
Last 5 matches
SL Sofya Lansere
- WKristina Novak6-0 6-1Angola Ladies Open · R2
- WAngella Okutoyi6-0 7-5Angola Ladies Open · R1
- LJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-2 6-2Jingshan Tennis Open · QF
- WSofia Costoulas6-3 6-4Jingshan Tennis Open · R2
- WKatarina Zavatska6-3 6-0Jingshan Tennis Open · R1
MK Martyna Kubka
- WFranziska Sziedat6-3 6-3Angola Ladies Open · R2
- WDarja Suvirdjonkova6-3 6-1Angola Ladies Open · R1
- LAnna Blinkova6-3 6-2Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · QF
- WLisa Pigato6-2 6-1Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R2
- WMia Ristic6-3 7-6(4)Valle D'Aosta Ladies Open · R1
Player news
Loading the latest headlines...
Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Your pick
Locks at the first serve · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat