Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA · Reto Win Tennis Cali Open
Quarterfinal · Clay · Best of 3 · · Cali, Colombia
How it plays out
Set score (best of 3)
Fair game spread: Gormaz by about 2.5 games; fair total 19.5 games. From an exact model of tennis scoring (points, games, tiebreaks, sets) fed the win chance above, fitted to the real game counts of recent WTA matches on clay, with room for the day's form, so blowouts and long matches show up about as often as they really do.
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | n/a | Monnet +142 Gormaz -142 fair |
| Game spread | n/a | Monnet +2.5 fair |
| Total games | n/a | 19.5 fair |
No line on this page yet. Sportsbooks price most tour matches once the order of play is out; we take a snapshot of tennis lines only when our shared odds budget allows. Game spread: "-3.5" wins if that player takes at least 4 more games than the other over the whole match. Total games counts every game, a tiebreak as one. If a player retires, most books settle the moneyline once a set is complete but void the spread and total; rules differ, so read your book's.
Advantages Why Leyre Romero Gormaz can win
- Higher rating for this match: 1582 to Monnet's 1507 (every tour result since 2010, weighted by who it came against, with clay counting extra)
- Better on clay: a clay-court rating of 1588 to Monnet's 1490
- Head to head: leads 2-1 in tour-level meetings since 2010
- Fresher legs: 30 games played in the last three days to Monnet's 44
- Simulation: Gormaz wins in straight sets 41% of the time
Disadvantages Why Leyre Romero Gormaz may not
- One break of serve can decide a set, and a tiebreak is close to a coin flip
- Injuries and retirements: about one tour match in 35 ends with a player quitting mid-match, and how a bet settles then depends on the sportsbook's rules
- Conditions: wind, heat, altitude, a new ball or a night session can change how a match plays
- Ratings lag: a player coming back from injury or on a sudden run is rated on older results
- Upset odds: Monnet wins about 1 time in 2, and takes at least a set 59% of the time
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Side by side
| CM Monnet | LG Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| – | Seed | – |
| FRA | From | ESP |
| 1507 | Rating for this match | 1582 |
| 1524 | Rating, all surfaces | 1576 |
| 1490 | Rating, clay courts only | 1588 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 matches | 8-2 |
| 163 | Tour-level matches since 2010 | 138 |
| 82 | Matches on clay | 96 |
| today | Last match | today |
| 6 | Matches in the last 2 weeks | 5 |
Rating: an Elo rating from every tour-level singles result since 2010 (a win over a strong player counts more; a newcomer starts at 1400). The rating for this match blends the all-surface rating with the clay-court one, half and half.
Head to head: Monnet 1-2 Gormaz
- LGOpen delle Puglie Trofeo · QF1-6 6-2 6-1Jun 2026
- LGMegasaray Hotels Open 2 · R16-0 4-6 6-4Mar 2026
- CMEngie Open presented by MundoTênis Tours · QF6-2 6-4Oct 2025
Tour-level singles since 2010, latest first (up to five). Scores read from the winner's side.
Last 5 matches
CM Carole Monnet
- WLaura Samson3-6 7-6(4) 6-3Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R2
- WMaria Herazo Gonzalez6-1 6-0Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R1
- LBianca Andreescu6-3 7-5Queretaro Open · SF
- WNadia Podoroska2-6 6-3 6-2Queretaro Open · QF
- WCarmen Andreea Herea6-2 6-1Queretaro Open · R2
LG Leyre Romero Gormaz
- WSolana Sierra6-4 6-1Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R2
- WPolona Hercog6-0 6-1Reto Win Tennis Cali Open · R1
- LJulia Grabher1-6 6-4 7-5Curitiba Open · QF
- WAntonia Vergara Rivera7-5 6-2Curitiba Open · R2
- WJulia Konishi Camargo Silva6-2 6-1Curitiba Open · R1
Player news
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Your pick
Locks at the first serve · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
How we get these numbers: our own ratings from every tour-level singles match since 2010, by surface, with rest, recent workload and head to head; the betting market's chance where we have a line. See how it holds up · This matchup on its own
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