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Blades Brown vs Nick Taylor

72-hole matchup · World Wide Technology Championship
El Cardonal at Diamante · first tee

NT
Our pick
BBBlades Brown
51.1% to finish ahead
ModelBrown 51.1%Taylor 48.9%

This one is close to a coin flip: a lean, not a strong pick.

Sportsbooks post golf matchups too, but there's no free feed of them, so there's no market number to compare here.

Ties left out (a push). Not a promise: a 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

Advantages Why Brown can finish ahead

  1. Brown and Taylor rate almost level (within 0.1 strokes a round over the last two years); Brown gets the nod because he finishes ahead in slightly more of our simulations.
  2. Brown is playing above his usual level lately: his last dozen or so rounds average 0.4 strokes better than his two-year rating.
  3. Taylor has been below his usual level lately (0.4 strokes a round worse than his rating).
  4. Head to head: Brown finished ahead in 3 of their last 5 tournaments together (a fact from the leaderboards; our numbers don't use it, ratings already do the work).
  5. Recent results: 3 top-10 finishes in Brown's last 8 starts, 0 for Taylor.

Disadvantages Why Brown may not

  1. Golf is the most random sport we cover: one round of 75 can undo a whole week. At 51%, Brown still loses this matchup about 4 times in 10.
  2. About 5% of our simulations end level after 72 holes: a tie, which sportsbooks void (a push) for a two-way matchup.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

BB BrownNT Taylor
1.8%Win this week1.4%
10%Top 59%
18%Top 1017%
33%Top 2031%
75%Make the cut75%
+0.60Rating (strokes / round)+0.55
+1.03Recent rounds+0.20
2.69Round-to-round spread2.63
181Rounds on record1,112
–At this course (0 / 2 rounds)–

Rating: strokes a round better than an average PGA Tour player, from every round on the PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LIV Golf and Korn Ferry Tour since 2014, each measured against that day's field and recent rounds counting more. Course history is shown for interest only: it didn't improve the backtest, so it doesn't move our numbers.

Last 5 meetings

Tournaments they both played: Brown finished ahead 3, Taylor 2. Settled like a matchup bet (72 holes; a missed cut loses).

  • BROBiltmore Championship AshevilleBrown T17 · Taylor T57Sep 2026
  • TAYWyndham ChampionshipBrown MC · Taylor T72Aug 2026
  • BROValspar ChampionshipBrown T40 · Taylor MCMar 2026
  • BROThe American ExpressBrown T18 · Taylor T27Jan 2026
  • TAYThe American ExpressBrown MC · Taylor T12Jan 2025

Last 6 starts

BB Blades Brown

  • T19VidantaWorld Mexico Open-14Oct 2026
  • 2Korn Ferry Tour Championship-18 · Korn FerryOct 2026
  • T17Compliance Solutions Championship-18 · Korn FerryOct 2026
  • T17Biltmore Championship Asheville-17Sep 2026
  • T49Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation-9 · Korn FerrySep 2026
  • T9AdventHealth Championship-22 · Korn FerryAug 2026

NT Nick Taylor

  • T41Baycurrent Classic-5Oct 2026
  • T53Bank of Utah Championship-11Oct 2026
  • T57Biltmore Championship Asheville-10Sep 2026
  • T39FedEx St. Jude ChampionshipEAug 2026
  • T72Wyndham Championship-2Aug 2026
  • T61Rocket Classic-2Jul 2026
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

How we get these numbers: ratings from every round on four tours since 2014, measured against each day's field, then 20,000 simulations of this tournament (cut included). See how it holds up · These two in the Analyzer

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