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Keith Mitchell vs Harry Hall

72-hole matchup · World Wide Technology Championship
El Cardonal at Diamante · first tee

HH
Our pick
KMKeith Mitchell
51.4% to finish ahead
ModelMitchell 51.4%Hall 48.6%

This one is close to a coin flip: a lean, not a strong pick.

Sportsbooks post golf matchups too, but there's no free feed of them, so there's no market number to compare here.

Ties left out (a push). Not a promise: a 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

Advantages Why Mitchell can finish ahead

  1. Mitchell rates 0.1 strokes a round better than Hall over the last two years of rounds, measured against the fields they beat (our core number).
  2. Mitchell is playing above his usual level lately: his last dozen or so rounds average 0.4 strokes better than his two-year rating.
  3. Head to head: Mitchell finished ahead in 3 of their last 5 tournaments together (a fact from the leaderboards; our numbers don't use it, ratings already do the work).

Disadvantages Why Mitchell may not

  1. Golf is the most random sport we cover: one round of 75 can undo a whole week. At 51%, Mitchell still loses this matchup about 4 times in 10.
  2. About 5% of our simulations end level after 72 holes: a tie, which sportsbooks void (a push) for a two-way matchup.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

KM MitchellHH Hall
2.9%Win this week2.2%
14%Top 513%
24%Top 1023%
40%Top 2039%
80%Make the cut79%
+0.89Rating (strokes / round)+0.80
+1.27Recent rounds+0.74
2.70Round-to-round spread2.63
898Rounds on record578
-0.76At this course (10 / 6 rounds)+0.05

Rating: strokes a round better than an average PGA Tour player, from every round on the PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LIV Golf and Korn Ferry Tour since 2014, each measured against that day's field and recent rounds counting more. Course history is shown for interest only: it didn't improve the backtest, so it doesn't move our numbers.

Last 5 meetings

Tournaments they both played: Mitchell finished ahead 3, Hall 2. Settled like a matchup bet (72 holes; a missed cut loses).

  • HALFedEx St. Jude ChampionshipMitchell T34 · Hall T24Aug 2026
  • HALWyndham ChampionshipMitchell T38 · Hall T5Aug 2026
  • MITThe OpenMitchell MC · Hall MC · majorJul 2026
  • MITTravelers ChampionshipMitchell T22 · Hall T51Jun 2026
  • MITU.S. OpenMitchell T4 · Hall MC · majorJun 2026

Last 6 starts

KM Keith Mitchell

  • T2Baycurrent Classic-15Oct 2026
  • T34FedEx St. Jude Championship-1Aug 2026
  • T38Wyndham Championship-7Aug 2026
  • T443M Open-9Jul 2026
  • MCThe Open+3 · majorJul 2026
  • T51John Deere Classic-8Jul 2026

HH Harry Hall

  • T23VidantaWorld Mexico Open-13Oct 2026
  • T13Bank of Utah Championship-18Oct 2026
  • 69Amgen Irish Open+9 · DP WorldSep 2026
  • 3Omega European Masters-17 · DP WorldSep 2026
  • T30Husqvarna British Masters hosted by Sir Nick Faldo-5 · DP WorldAug 2026
  • T24FedEx St. Jude Championship-3Aug 2026
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

How we get these numbers: ratings from every round on four tours since 2014, measured against each day's field, then 20,000 simulations of this tournament (cut included). See how it holds up · These two in the Analyzer

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