21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
JS

Jordan Smith vs Ben Kohles

72-hole matchup · World Wide Technology Championship
El Cardonal at Diamante · first tee

BK
Our pick
JSJordan Smith
53.3% to finish ahead
ModelSmith 53.3%Kohles 46.7%

Sportsbooks post golf matchups too, but there's no free feed of them, so there's no market number to compare here.

Ties left out (a push). Not a promise: a 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

Advantages Why Smith can finish ahead

  1. Smith rates 0.2 strokes a round better than Kohles over the last two years of rounds, measured against the fields they beat (our core number).
  2. Smith is playing above his usual level lately: his last dozen or so rounds average 0.3 strokes better than his two-year rating.
  3. Smith makes the cut in 77% of our simulations, Kohles in 75%. If only one of them plays the weekend, he wins the matchup.
  4. Smith finishes in the top 20 in 38% of our simulations of this week, Kohles in 33%.
  5. Smith finishes in the top 10 in 22% of our simulations of this week, Kohles in 19%.
  6. Recent results: 1 top-10 finish in Smith's last 8 starts, 0 for Kohles.

Disadvantages Why Smith may not

  1. Kohles is in form: his recent rounds average 0.4 strokes better than his rating.
  2. Head to head: Kohles finished ahead in 3 of their last 5 tournaments together (a fact, not part of our numbers).
  3. Golf is the most random sport we cover: one round of 75 can undo a whole week. At 53%, Smith still loses this matchup about 4 times in 10.
  4. About 4% of our simulations end level after 72 holes: a tie, which sportsbooks void (a push) for a two-way matchup.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Side by side

JS SmithBK Kohles
2.5%Win this week1.8%
13%Top 511%
22%Top 1019%
38%Top 2033%
77%Make the cut75%
+0.77Rating (strokes / round)+0.62
+1.09Recent rounds+1.01
2.76Round-to-round spread2.75
737Rounds on record948
–At this course (0 / 4 rounds)-0.32

Rating: strokes a round better than an average PGA Tour player, from every round on the PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LIV Golf and Korn Ferry Tour since 2014, each measured against that day's field and recent rounds counting more. Course history is shown for interest only: it didn't improve the backtest, so it doesn't move our numbers.

Last 5 meetings

Tournaments they both played: Smith finished ahead 2, Kohles 3. Settled like a matchup bet (72 holes; a missed cut loses).

  • SMIBaycurrent ClassicSmith T4 · Kohles T17Oct 2026
  • KOHBank of Utah ChampionshipSmith T26 · Kohles T13Oct 2026
  • SMIWyndham ChampionshipSmith T14 · Kohles T29Aug 2026
  • KOHRocket ClassicSmith T31 · Kohles T26Jul 2026
  • KOH3M OpenSmith T39 · Kohles 9Jul 2026

Last 6 starts

JS Jordan Smith

  • T16VidantaWorld Mexico Open-15Oct 2026
  • T4Baycurrent Classic-13Oct 2026
  • T26Bank of Utah Championship-16Oct 2026
  • T21BMW PGA Championship-11 · DP WorldSep 2026
  • MCAmgen Irish Open+9 · DP WorldSep 2026
  • T55FedEx St. Jude Championship+4Aug 2026

BK Ben Kohles

  • T17Butterfield Bermuda Championship-10Oct 2026
  • T17Baycurrent Classic-10Oct 2026
  • T13Bank of Utah Championship-18Oct 2026
  • T15Biltmore Championship Asheville-18Sep 2026
  • T27Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation-12 · Korn FerrySep 2026
  • T23AdventHealth Championship-20 · Korn FerryAug 2026
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

How we get these numbers: ratings from every round on four tours since 2014, measured against each day's field, then 20,000 simulations of this tournament (cut included). See how it holds up · These two in the Analyzer

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat