Game day
Tip-offWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | PHX -0.7 |
| Total | n/a | 225.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ORL +107 PHX -107 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks usually post NBA lines the night before or the morning of the game, after the first injury report. We add it as soon as one posts.
10,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- PHX 114, ORL 113
- 8 in 10 games
- ORL by 16 to PHX by 17
Your pick
Locks at kickoff · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Advantages Why Suns can win
- Home court: the Suns play at home, worth about 2 points in today's NBA.
- Three-point shooting: Suns 12th (36.0%), Magic 24th (34.2%).
- Body clock: the Magic cross 2 time zones.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 0.7 points to the Suns in our ratings.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors the Suns. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (8th of 30) meets the Magic ball security (10th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors the Suns. The closest: best player against best player, Devin Booker (Suns: 25.5 pts, 3.9 reb, 5.9 ast, Game Score 18.0; filling in for Mark Williams, out) is about even with Paolo Banchero (Magic: 22.6 pts, 8.3 reb, 5.3 ast, Game Score 17.2; filling in for Anthony Black, missed the last game).
- Simulation: the Suns win 5,170 of 10,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Suns may not
- Back-to-back: the Suns played last night; teams on no rest lose about 2 points of strength.
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Magic 6th (75.0%), Suns 26th (71.4%).
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Magic 3rd (0.25), Suns 25th (0.18).
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations the Suns lose by 16 or more.
- Team matchup: where the Magic can push back. Their offensive rebounding (20th of 30) meets the Suns defensive rebounding (26th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean the Suns on paper, but Paolo Banchero (22.6 pts, 8.3 reb, 5.3 ast, Game Score 17.2; filling in for Anthony Black, missed the last game) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: the Magic win 4,830 of 10,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
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Each headline links to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Injury report
ORL Magic
- Sat outAnthony Blackmissed the last game · box scores, Nov 3, 2026
- Sat outGoga Bitadzemissed the last game · box scores, Nov 3, 2026
PHX Suns
- OutMark Williams Cout · ESPN team rosters, Sep 11, 2026
- QuestionableJordan Goodwin Gday-to-day · ESPN team rosters, Nov 4, 2026
Official NBA injury report (latest version we read). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| ORL | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 1-4 |
| -0.3 19 | Net rating | +0.1 17 |
| 110.4 20 | Offensive rating | 111.8 15 |
| 110.7 12 | Defensive rating | 111.7 14 |
| 52.5% 25 | Effective FG% | 53.7% 17 |
| 53.9% 10 | Opponent eFG% | 54.4% 17 |
| 14.0 10 | Turnovers per 100 | 14.5 17 |
| 24.8% 20 | Offensive rebound % | 28.7% 9 |
| 34.2% 24 | 3-point % | 36.0% 12 |
| 102.8 13 | Pace | 100.3 25 |
Small numbers are league ranks (1 = best of 30; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions (2025-26 and 2026-27 seasons).
Last 5 meetings
- PHX 111 @ ORL 115Mar 31, 2026
- ORL 110 @ PHX 113Feb 21, 2026
- PHX 110 @ ORL 115Dec 8, 2024
- ORL 109 @ PHX 99Nov 18, 2024
- PHX 98 @ ORL 113Jan 28, 2024
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Few lines logged this season yet, so this leans on our power ratings.
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